{ "schemaVersion": 2, "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:51:34Z", "seedData": false, "seedDataNotice": "No provisional value enters the published scores. Indicators without a published official figure are shown for transparency, marked as seed, and excluded from all scoring.", "region": "uk", "regionLabel": "United Kingdom", "verifiedCount": 71, "totalMetrics": 73, "scoredMetrics": 71, "domainsCovered": 11, "geographicComposition": { "scoredMetrics": 71, "byCount": { "england": 29, "uk": 26, "england_wales": 12, "gb": 4 }, "byWeightPct": { "england": 41.9, "uk": 34.2, "england_wales": 19.0, "gb": 4.9 } }, "releasePeriod": "September 2026", "previousReleasePeriod": "August 2026", "dataCutoff": "2026-08-25", "nationalScore": 51, "nationalScoreUnrounded": 50.95, "previousNationalScore": 52, "nationalDelta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousNationalScore": 53, "delta": -2, "direction": "improving" }, "minutesToMidnight": 29.4, "riskBand": "fragile", "dataConfidence": 0.83, "systemicPenaltyApplied": 0, "extremeDomainCount": 1, "nationalTrend": [ { "period": "2010", "score": 45 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 49 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 40 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 36 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 39 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 46 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 46 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 44 } ], "nationalTrendRetrospective": "Level-only modelled trajectory from verified official statistics; all 11 domains in this view are covered from 2018 (sparser before 2015). Each year's published values are re-scored on today's scale: it shows where stress sat, not a live historical index, and the current headline additionally reflects short-term trend, so it can differ from the final plotted point. COVID-era stress appears mainly from 2021, as the waiting-list, housing and court pressures it triggered entered the annual statistics with a lag.", "domains": [ { "id": "living_standards", "name": "Living Standards", "weight": 13, "purpose": "Measures whether ordinary households can maintain stable lives.", "score": 30, "averageScore": 31.7, "riskBand": "strained", "metricIds": [ "ls_rhdi_per_head", "ls_real_wage_growth", "ls_poverty_ahc", "ls_food_energy_pressure", "ls_arrears_insolvency", "ls_fuel_poverty", "ls_food_insecurity", "ls_inequality_gini" ], "previousScore": 40, "delta": -10, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 42, "delta": -12, "direction": "improving" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ls_inequality_gini", "avgConfidence": 0.82, "interpretation": "Living Standards is currently rated Strained. The domain score is driven primarily by Income inequality (Gini, disposable), Household arrears and insolvency pressure and Poverty after housing costs. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2006", "score": 53 }, { "period": "2007", "score": 37 }, { "period": "2008", "score": 48 }, { "period": "2009", "score": 52 }, { "period": "2010", "score": 55 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 61 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 56 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 51 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 39 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 26 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 33 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 33 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 23 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 12 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 14 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 19 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 23 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 20 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 32 }, { "period": "2026", "score": 44 }, { "period": "FYE 2025", "score": 38 }, { "period": "FYE2015", "score": 65 }, { "period": "FYE2020", "score": 69 }, { "period": "FYE2023", "score": 54 }, { "period": "FYE2024", "score": 53 }, { "period": "Jul 2026", "score": 42 }, { "period": "Mar 2026", "score": 50 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "GDP per capita (PPP)", "ukDisplay": "$62,009", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD members $61,973 (at parity)", "period": "2024", "direction": "neutral", "tone": "neutral", "note": "Essentially level with the OECD average; below the high-income-country average ($67,044).", "sourceOrg": "World Bank (International Comparison Programme)", "sourceUrl": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD", "confidence": "high" }, "leadingIndicator": { "indicator": "CPIH annual inflation", "latestValue": "3.0%", "latestPeriod": "April 2026", "priorValue": "3.4%", "priorPeriod": "March 2026", "direction": "falling", "tone": "good", "frequency": "monthly", "sourceOrg": "ONS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/april2026", "note": "Cost-of-living pressure easing, though the Ofgem energy price cap rises 13% to £1,862/yr from July 2026." } }, { "id": "work_productivity", "name": "Work and Productivity", "weight": 11, "purpose": "Measures whether the country can generate real economic capacity.", "score": 29, "averageScore": 42.7, "riskBand": "strained", "metricIds": [ "wp_employment_rate", "wp_unemployment_rate", "wp_inactivity_rate", "wp_lt_sickness_inactivity", "wp_output_per_hour", "wp_business_births_closures", "wp_zero_hours" ], "previousScore": 27, "delta": 2, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 42, "delta": -13, "direction": "improving" }, "topContributorMetricId": "wp_lt_sickness_inactivity", "avgConfidence": 0.83, "interpretation": "Work and Productivity is currently rated Strained. The domain score is driven primarily by Inactivity due to long-term sickness, Zero-hours contracts and Unemployment rate (16+). Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2006", "score": 36 }, { "period": "2007", "score": 36 }, { "period": "2008", "score": 37 }, { "period": "2009", "score": 51 }, { "period": "2010", "score": 54 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 52 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 49 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 46 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 42 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 32 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 28 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 28 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 31 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 42 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 41 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 36 }, { "period": "Apr-Jun 2026", "score": 69 }, { "period": "Jan-Mar 2026", "score": 70 }, { "period": "Jul-Sep 2025", "score": 67 }, { "period": "Oct-Dec 2025", "score": 69 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "GDP per hour worked", "ukDisplay": "$79.7/hr", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD ~$70 · 4th of 7 in the G7 (~18% below the US)", "period": "2023", "direction": "worse", "tone": "bad", "note": "Above the OECD average but mid-table in the G7, the long-standing UK productivity gap.", "sourceOrg": "OECD Productivity Database", "sourceUrl": "https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/United-Kingdom/productivity_current_USD/", "confidence": "med" }, "leadingIndicator": { "indicator": "Job vacancies (UK)", "latestValue": "705,000", "latestPeriod": "Feb–Apr 2026", "priorValue": "733,000", "priorPeriod": "Nov 2025–Jan 2026", "direction": "falling", "tone": "bad", "frequency": "monthly", "sourceOrg": "ONS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/jobsandvacanciesintheuk/may2026", "note": "Lowest since 2021; weakening labour demand." } }, { "id": "public_services", "name": "Public Service Capacity", "weight": 12, "purpose": "Measures whether the state can deliver core public services.", "score": 64, "averageScore": 58.6, "riskBand": "fragile", "metricIds": [ "ps_rtt_waiting_list", "ps_ae_4hr_performance", "ps_cancer_62day", "ps_gp_access_pressure", "ps_delayed_discharges", "ps_crown_court_backlog", "ps_social_care_requests", "ps_care_workforce_vacancy" ], "previousScore": 61, "delta": 3, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 57, "delta": 7, "direction": "worsening" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ps_crown_court_backlog", "avgConfidence": 0.85, "interpretation": "Public Service Capacity is currently rated Fragile. The domain score is driven primarily by Crown Court outstanding caseload (E&W), Delayed hospital discharges (England) and NHS referral-to-treatment waiting list (England). Data confidence is high across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2013", "score": 14 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 20 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 26 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 24 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 25 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 32 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 31 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 65 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 65 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 59 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 52 }, { "period": "2025-26", "score": 36 }, { "period": "2026", "score": 69 }, { "period": "Apr 2026", "score": 54 }, { "period": "Dec 2025", "score": 44 }, { "period": "Feb 2026", "score": 55 }, { "period": "Jan 2026", "score": 63 }, { "period": "July 2026", "score": 60 }, { "period": "June 2026", "score": 57 }, { "period": "Mar 2026", "score": 53 }, { "period": "May 2026", "score": 55 }, { "period": "Nov 2025", "score": 49 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Health spending (% of GDP)", "ukDisplay": "11.3%", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD 9.2%", "period": "2022", "direction": "neutral", "tone": "neutral", "note": "Above-average spending input, which does not by itself indicate better outcomes (cf. UK waiting times).", "sourceOrg": "OECD Health at a Glance 2023 / ONS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthcaresystem/bulletins/healthcareexpenditureukhealthaccounts/2022", "confidence": "high" } }, { "id": "population_health", "name": "Population Health", "weight": 12, "purpose": "Measures whether the population is actually getting healthier or sicker, health outcomes, not service throughput.", "score": 83, "averageScore": 72.0, "riskBand": "critical", "metricIds": [ "ph_drug_deaths", "ph_suicide_rate", "ph_avoidable_mortality", "ph_mental_illness_prevalence", "ph_healthy_life_expectancy" ], "previousScore": 84, "delta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 62, "delta": 21, "direction": "worsening" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ph_suicide_rate", "avgConfidence": 0.83, "interpretation": "Population Health is currently rated High stress. The domain score is driven primarily by Suicide rate, Common mental-health condition prevalence and Drug-poisoning deaths. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "1993", "score": 21 }, { "period": "2000", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2007", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2010", "score": 26 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 27 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 33 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 42 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 54 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 48 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 70 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 77 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 50 }, { "period": "2022-2024", "score": 61 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 48 }, { "period": "2023/4", "score": 80 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 68 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Life expectancy at birth", "ukDisplay": "80.4 yrs", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD 80.3 yrs", "period": "2021", "direction": "neutral", "tone": "neutral", "note": "At the OECD average, but well behind leaders (Japan 84.3, Switzerland 83.9).", "sourceOrg": "OECD Health at a Glance 2023", "sourceUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/health-at-a-glance-2023_7a7afb35-en.html", "confidence": "high" } }, { "id": "housing", "name": "Housing and Household Formation", "weight": 11, "purpose": "Measures whether people can form stable adult lives.", "score": 62, "averageScore": 64.0, "riskBand": "fragile", "metricIds": [ "ho_price_to_earnings", "ho_rent_to_income", "ho_new_homes_vs_household_growth", "ho_temporary_accommodation", "ho_social_housing_waiting", "ho_rough_sleeping" ], "previousScore": 62, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 54, "delta": 8, "direction": "worsening" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ho_rough_sleeping", "avgConfidence": 0.83, "interpretation": "Housing and Household Formation is currently rated Fragile. The domain score is driven primarily by Rough sleeping snapshot (England), Households in temporary accommodation (England) and Net additional dwellings. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2010", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 61 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 55 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 39 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 51 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 49 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 48 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 40 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 49 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 45 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 52 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 52 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 52 }, { "period": "Autumn 2025", "score": 94 }, { "period": "Q1 2026", "score": 80 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "House price-to-income ratio (OECD index, 2015=100)", "ukDisplay": "111.6", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD 115.8", "period": "2023", "direction": "better", "tone": "good", "note": "Price-to-income index (2015=100); UK below the OECD average. (Accessed 2026-06-16 via OECD Analytical House Prices.)", "sourceOrg": "OECD Analytical House Prices", "sourceUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/en/data/indicators/housing-prices.html", "confidence": "high" }, "leadingIndicator": { "indicator": "Mortgage approvals (house purchase)", "latestValue": "63,500", "latestPeriod": "March 2026", "priorValue": "62,700", "priorPeriod": "February 2026", "direction": "rising", "tone": "good", "frequency": "monthly", "sourceOrg": "Bank of England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/money-and-credit/2026/march-2026", "note": "Slightly above the six-month average, modest demand recovery." } }, { "id": "childhood_social_floor", "name": "Childhood and Social Floor", "weight": 11, "purpose": "Measures damage to the next generation and the basic social floor.", "score": 59, "averageScore": 58.9, "riskBand": "fragile", "metricIds": [ "ch_child_poverty_ahc", "ch_persistent_absence", "ch_disadvantage_gap", "ch_neet_rate", "ch_camhs_access_pressure", "ch_infant_mortality", "ch_looked_after", "ch_ehcp_timeliness", "ch_child_obesity" ], "previousScore": 54, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 64, "delta": -5, "direction": "improving" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ch_ehcp_timeliness", "avgConfidence": 0.84, "interpretation": "Childhood and Social Floor is currently rated Fragile. The domain score is driven primarily by EHC plan timeliness, Children's mental-health caseload and Disadvantage attainment gap (KS4, England). Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2006", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2007", "score": 40 }, { "period": "2008", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2009", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2010", "score": 51 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 47 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 37 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 33 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 39 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 42 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 48 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 46 }, { "period": "2023/24", "score": 55 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 46 }, { "period": "2024/25", "score": 55 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 49 }, { "period": "Apr 2026", "score": 64 }, { "period": "FYE 2025", "score": 40 }, { "period": "June 2026", "score": 68 }, { "period": "Mar 2026", "score": 64 }, { "period": "May 2026", "score": 66 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Child relative income poverty (<50% median)", "ukDisplay": "12.7%", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD 12.4%", "period": "2021", "direction": "worse", "tone": "bad", "note": "Slightly worse than the OECD average on the 50%-of-median measure (the UK's domestic headline uses 60%).", "sourceOrg": "OECD Family Database (CO2.2)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/en/data/datasets/oecd-family-database.html", "confidence": "high" } }, { "id": "rule_of_law", "name": "Rule of Law and Safety", "weight": 9, "purpose": "Measures safety, order, consequence and justice-system function.", "score": 51, "averageScore": 50.5, "riskBand": "fragile", "metricIds": [ "rl_csew_victimisation", "rl_fraud_incidents", "rl_theft_robbery_burglary", "rl_charge_rate", "rl_court_delay", "rl_prison_capacity" ], "previousScore": 56, "delta": -5, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 51, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat" }, "topContributorMetricId": "rl_fraud_incidents", "avgConfidence": 0.84, "interpretation": "Rule of Law and Safety is currently rated Fragile. The domain score is driven primarily by Fraud incidents (CSEW), Crown Court timeliness (E&W) and Crime Survey victimisation (headline crime). Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "10 Aug 2026", "score": 70 }, { "period": "11 Aug 2023", "score": 76 }, { "period": "11 Aug 2025", "score": 74 }, { "period": "12 Aug 2022", "score": 71 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 49 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 68 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 53 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 65 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 61 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 53 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 65 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 56 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 40 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 53 }, { "period": "2026", "score": 54 }, { "period": "24 Aug 2026", "score": 70 }, { "period": "3 Aug 2026", "score": 69 }, { "period": "9 Aug 2024", "score": 74 }, { "period": "Jul 2026", "score": 66 }, { "period": "Jun 2026", "score": 65 }, { "period": "YE Mar 2026", "score": 75 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Feel safe walking alone at night", "ukDisplay": "78%", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD 74%", "period": "~2022", "direction": "better", "tone": "good", "note": "Above the OECD average on perceived personal safety.", "sourceOrg": "OECD Better Life Index (Safety)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org/topics/safety/", "confidence": "high" } }, { "id": "fiscal_resilience", "name": "Fiscal Resilience", "weight": 7, "purpose": "Measures whether the state has room to respond to future shocks.", "score": 30, "averageScore": 38.5, "riskBand": "strained", "metricIds": [ "fi_debt_to_gdp", "fi_borrowing_to_gdp", "fi_debt_interest_pressure", "fi_current_budget_deficit", "fi_net_investment", "fi_fiscal_headroom" ], "previousScore": 34, "delta": -4, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 64, "delta": -34, "direction": "improving" }, "topContributorMetricId": "fi_debt_to_gdp", "avgConfidence": 0.84, "interpretation": "Fiscal Resilience is currently rated Strained. The domain score is driven primarily by Public sector net debt, Debt interest as share of revenue and Public sector net investment. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2006", "score": 0 }, { "period": "2007", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2008", "score": 23 }, { "period": "2009", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2010", "score": 61 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 58 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 60 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 60 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 55 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 49 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 46 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 38 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 37 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 35 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 41 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 85 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 47 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 54 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 43 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2026", "score": 35 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Government gross debt (% of GDP)", "ukDisplay": "101.3%", "comparatorDisplay": "G7 average ~126%", "period": "2023", "direction": "better", "tone": "good", "note": "Below the G7 average, though above 100% of GDP in absolute terms.", "sourceOrg": "ONS / IMF WEO April 2024", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicspending/bulletins/ukgovernmentdebtanddeficitforeurostatmaast/latest", "confidence": "med" }, "leadingIndicator": { "indicator": "Public sector net borrowing", "latestValue": "£24.3bn", "latestPeriod": "April 2026", "priorValue": "£19.4bn", "priorPeriod": "April 2025", "direction": "rising", "tone": "bad", "frequency": "monthly", "sourceOrg": "ONS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/bulletins/publicsectorfinances/april2026", "note": "Compared with the same month a year earlier (the standard fiscal comparison); April is seasonally the highest-borrowing month." } }, { "id": "environment_climate", "name": "Environment and Climate", "weight": 5, "purpose": "Measures the environmental and climate conditions the country depends on.", "score": 29, "averageScore": 36.8, "riskBand": "strained", "metricIds": [ "ec_ghg_emissions", "ec_air_quality_pm25", "ec_bathing_water", "ie_storm_overflows", "ie_climate_adaptation", "ec_wild_bird_index" ], "previousScore": 33, "delta": -4, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 51, "delta": -22, "direction": "improving" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ec_bathing_water", "avgConfidence": 0.85, "interpretation": "Environment and Climate is currently rated Strained. The domain score is driven primarily by Bathing water quality, Climate adaptation readiness and Wild bird populations (decline since 1970). Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2000", "score": 82 }, { "period": "2001", "score": 82 }, { "period": "2002", "score": 78 }, { "period": "2003", "score": 79 }, { "period": "2004", "score": 78 }, { "period": "2005", "score": 77 }, { "period": "2006", "score": 75 }, { "period": "2007", "score": 73 }, { "period": "2008", "score": 68 }, { "period": "2009", "score": 58 }, { "period": "2010", "score": 60 }, { "period": "2011", "score": 47 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 54 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 41 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 14 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 8 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 10 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 3 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 10 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 19 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 40 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 31 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Greenhouse-gas emissions per capita", "ukDisplay": "5.6 t", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD 10.4 t", "period": "2023", "direction": "better", "tone": "good", "note": "Territorial all-greenhouse-gas emissions per person; UK is well below the OECD average.", "sourceOrg": "OECD GHG inventories (UNFCCC)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/en/data/indicators/air-and-ghg-emissions.html", "confidence": "high" } }, { "id": "infrastructure_environment", "name": "Infrastructure", "weight": 3, "purpose": "Measures whether physical and digital systems can support the country.", "score": 47, "averageScore": 44.2, "riskBand": "strained", "metricIds": [ "ie_industrial_energy_price", "ie_grid_connection_delay", "ie_rail_reliability", "ie_road_condition", "in_broadband_coverage" ], "previousScore": 47, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 38, "delta": 9, "direction": "worsening" }, "topContributorMetricId": "ie_rail_reliability", "avgConfidence": 0.81, "interpretation": "Infrastructure is currently rated Strained. The domain score is driven primarily by Rail cancellations (GB), Industrial electricity price premium and Grid connection queue delay. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2020", "score": 77 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 55 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 31 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 29 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 44 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 20 }, { "period": "2026", "score": 11 } ] }, { "id": "trust_wellbeing", "name": "Trust and Wellbeing", "weight": 6, "purpose": "Measures legitimacy, cohesion and human wellbeing.", "score": 56, "averageScore": 54.2, "riskBand": "fragile", "metricIds": [ "tw_life_satisfaction", "tw_anxiety", "tw_loneliness", "tw_institutional_trust", "tw_community_participation", "tw_safe_after_dark", "tw_belonging" ], "previousScore": 47, "delta": 9, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousScore": 43, "delta": 13, "direction": "worsening" }, "topContributorMetricId": "tw_anxiety", "avgConfidence": 0.77, "interpretation": "Trust and Wellbeing is currently rated Fragile. The domain score is driven primarily by Anxiety, Life satisfaction and Chronic loneliness. Data confidence is medium across its component metrics.", "trend": [ { "period": "2011", "score": 28 }, { "period": "2012", "score": 25 }, { "period": "2013", "score": 25 }, { "period": "2014", "score": 34 }, { "period": "2015", "score": 31 }, { "period": "2016", "score": 28 }, { "period": "2017", "score": 16 }, { "period": "2018", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2019", "score": 22 }, { "period": "2020", "score": 29 }, { "period": "2021", "score": 30 }, { "period": "2022", "score": 32 }, { "period": "2023", "score": 24 }, { "period": "2024", "score": 47 }, { "period": "2025", "score": 50 }, { "period": "2026", "score": 47 }, { "period": "Mar 2026", "score": 57 }, { "period": "May 2026", "score": 42 }, { "period": "Q4 2024", "score": 23 }, { "period": "Q4 2025", "score": 23 }, { "period": "YE Mar 2024", "score": 18 }, { "period": "YE Mar 2025", "score": 22 }, { "period": "YE Mar 2026", "score": 23 } ], "benchmark": { "indicator": "Life satisfaction (0–10, Cantril ladder)", "ukDisplay": "6.75", "comparatorDisplay": "OECD ~6.7", "period": "2021–2023", "direction": "neutral", "tone": "neutral", "note": "Around the OECD average; the UK ranks ~20th globally.", "sourceOrg": "World Happiness Report 2024 / OECD How's Life?", "sourceUrl": "https://worldhappiness.report/ed/2024/", "confidence": "med" } } ], "metrics": [ { "id": "ls_rhdi_per_head", "name": "Real household disposable income per head", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Annual real household disposable income per person, measuring the purchasing power available to households after taxes and benefits.", "unit": "£ per head per year (real terms)", "latestValue": 25320.0, "previousValue": 25202.0, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 21, "levelScore": 8, "trendScore": 48, "volatilityScore": 17, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_rhdi", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (CRXX/UKEA), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 20, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 20, "delta": 1, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Headline mean masks large distributional differences; income quintile breakdowns lag by up to 12 months.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "CRXX/UKEA", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/crxx/ukea/data", "sourceTitle": "Households: Real disposable Income, per head: Chained volume measure (reference year = 2023) £: Seasonally adjusted", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ls_real_wage_growth", "name": "Real average weekly earnings growth", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Year-on-year real-terms growth in average weekly earnings (regular pay, excluding bonuses), indicating whether typical pay is keeping pace with inflation.", "unit": "% year-on-year (real terms)", "latestValue": 0.5, "previousValue": 0.3, "latestPeriod": "2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 30, "levelScore": 45, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_labour_market", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (A2F9/EMP), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 38, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 67, "delta": -37, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Average weekly earnings is a mean (not a median) and covers Great Britain only; the real-terms figure depends on the chosen inflation deflator.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "A2F9/EMP", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/timeseries/a2f9/emp/data", "sourceTitle": "AWE: Whole Economy Real Terms Year on Year Single Month Growth (%): Seasonally Adjusted Regular Pay", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": true, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -8 } }, { "id": "ls_poverty_ahc", "name": "Poverty after housing costs", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Share of the population living below 60% of median income after housing costs are deducted, the standard UK relative poverty measure.", "unit": "% of population", "latestValue": 20.0, "previousValue": 20.0, "latestPeriod": "FYE 2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 42, "levelScore": 38, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "dwp_hbai", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Work and Pensions (dwp_hbai), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat", "fromPeriod": "FYE 2025", "toPeriod": "FYE 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "HBAI data carries approximately a 12-month lag, meaning the most recent year's figures reflect conditions from the prior year. A FYE2022 admin-data switch is a structural break, so year-on-year deltas across that boundary are misleading.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Work and Pensions", "seriesId": "dwp_hbai", "sourceTitle": "Households Below Average Income (HBAI), FYE 1995 to FYE 2025", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/households-below-average-income-for-financial-years-ending-1995-to-2025", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "% of population below 60% of median income after housing costs, UK. Admin-data switch from FYE2022 is a structural break, so year-on-year deltas are misleading (previous=latest).", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 0 } }, { "id": "ls_food_energy_pressure", "name": "Energy bill affordability pressure", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Share of adults who pay energy bills and find them very or somewhat difficult to afford, capturing acute cost-of-living stress beyond income measures.", "unit": "% of bill-payers finding energy bills difficult to afford", "latestValue": 32.0, "previousValue": 35.0, "latestPeriod": "Jul 2026", "updateFrequency": "Periodic", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 31, "levelScore": 42, "trendScore": 7, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.7, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_opn", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Opinions and Lifestyle Survey) (energy bills affordability), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 46, "delta": -15, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 45, "delta": -14, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Mar 2026", "toPeriod": "Jul 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "ONS Opinions and Lifestyle Survey is a small quota sample; the energy-bills affordability question is the available proxy: no combined food-and-energy affordability rate is published: and fieldwork is periodic.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Opinions and Lifestyle Survey)", "seriesId": "energy bills affordability", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/bulletins/publicopinionsandsocialtrendsgreatbritain/july2026", "sourceTitle": "ONS Public opinions and social trends, 1 to 26 July 2026: 32% of bill payers found energy bills very or somewhat difficult to afford", "frequency": "periodic", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25", "note": "This question runs only in some monthly OPN waves; the latest wave carrying it is March 2026." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -15 } }, { "id": "ls_arrears_insolvency", "name": "Household arrears and insolvency pressure", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Individual insolvencies per 10,000 adults, indicating the rate at which households are unable to service debts.", "unit": "individual insolvencies per 10,000 adults", "latestValue": 25.3, "previousValue": 24.1, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 50, "levelScore": 38, "trendScore": 75, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "insolvency_service", "notes": "Verified official value from Insolvency Service (individual insolvency rate, E&W), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 50, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 40, "delta": 10, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Insolvency counts reflect court activity and legal thresholds rather than the broader population in arrears, understating household financial stress.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Insolvency Service", "seriesId": "individual insolvency rate, E&W", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/individual-insolvencies-by-location-age-and-gender-england-and-wales-2025", "sourceTitle": "Individual insolvencies E&W 2025, 25.3 per 10,000 adults", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "One in 395 adults; up from 24.1 (2024). Freshness checked 13 August 2026: the annual calendar year series is current; the next edition (2026) is due March or April 2027. The separate monthly series showed a rolling 12 month rate of 27.1 per 10,000 to June 2026, a different measure not used here." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 0 } }, { "id": "ls_fuel_poverty", "name": "Fuel poverty", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Share of households in fuel poverty on the Low Income Low Energy Efficiency (LILEE) measure, England.", "unit": "% of households (LILEE)", "latestValue": 9.4, "previousValue": 9.9, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 12, "levelScore": 6, "trendScore": 25, "volatilityScore": 47, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "desnz_fuel_poverty", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (desnz_fuel_poverty), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 8, "delta": 4, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 0, "delta": 12, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only LILEE metric (devolved nations use different definitions); the LILEE definition changed in 2021 and pre-2019 backcasts are indicative.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Energy Security and Net Zero", "seriesId": "desnz_fuel_poverty", "sourceTitle": "DESNZ: 9.4% of English households in fuel poverty (LILEE), 2025 (provisional)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/annual-fuel-poverty-statistics-report-2026", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "2025 provisional (2.36m households); the finalised 2024 figure was revised to 9.9%. History extended and reconciled to the DESNZ Fuel poverty trends 2026 table (LILEE backcast 2010 to 2025, one modelling basis throughout): 2018 added at 15.0, and 2022 and 2023 restated to 13.1 and 11.4 per the publisher's current table, which revises earlier years as final survey data lands.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 4 } }, { "id": "ls_food_insecurity", "name": "Household food insecurity", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Share of people living in food-insecure (low or very low food security) households, UK.", "unit": "% of people in food-insecure households", "latestValue": 9.0, "previousValue": 10.0, "latestPeriod": "FYE 2024-25", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 17, "levelScore": 25, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "dwp_frs", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Work and Pensions (dwp_frs), accessed 2026-08-15.", "previousStressScore": 25, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": -25, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "FYE 2024-25" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "UK; the Family Resources Survey food-security module only began in 2019/20, so the series is short and the 2020/21 COVID telephone-only year is not directly comparable.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Work and Pensions", "seriesId": "dwp_frs", "sourceTitle": "Family Resources Survey, food security", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/family-resources-survey--2", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "% in food-insecure households, UK. Module started FYE 2019-20; 2021 COVID telephone-only; 2022 unconfirmed (omitted). The FYE 2021 to 22 wave (6 per cent low or very low food security) added from the published FRS report; all six published waves of the measure are now held. The module began in FYE 2019 to 20, so the series cannot yet reach the eight points needed for percentile normalisation.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-15" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -8 } }, { "id": "wp_employment_rate", "name": "Employment rate (16–64)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Proportion of the working-age population (16–64) in employment, the headline measure of labour market participation.", "unit": "%", "latestValue": 75.1, "previousValue": 74.8, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 29, "levelScore": 20, "trendScore": 48, "volatilityScore": 8, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_labour_market", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (LF24/LMS), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 27, "delta": 2, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": -13, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "LFS response rates have declined sharply since 2020, requiring increased reweighting that may introduce bias into participation estimates.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "LF24/LMS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/timeseries/lf24/lms/data", "sourceTitle": "Employment rate (aged 16 to 64, seasonally adjusted): %", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 2 } }, { "id": "wp_unemployment_rate", "name": "Unemployment rate (16+)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Share of the labour force actively seeking but unable to find work, the standard ILO unemployment measure for the UK.", "unit": "%", "latestValue": 4.9, "previousValue": 4.3, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 63, "levelScore": 45, "trendScore": 100, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "ons_labour_market", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (MGSX/LMS), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 67, "delta": -4, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 41, "delta": 22, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "LFS-based unemployment estimates have elevated sampling uncertainty due to falling survey response rates since 2020.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "MGSX/LMS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/timeseries/mgsx/lms/data", "sourceTitle": "Unemployment rate (aged 16 and over, seasonally adjusted): %", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -4 } }, { "id": "wp_inactivity_rate", "name": "Economic inactivity rate (16–64)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Share of 16–64 year-olds who are neither employed nor actively seeking work, including students, carers and the long-term sick.", "unit": "%", "latestValue": 21.0, "previousValue": 21.8, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 16, "levelScore": 8, "trendScore": 32, "volatilityScore": 12, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_labour_market", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (LF2S/LMS), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 15, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": -26, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Inactivity is a heterogeneous category mixing voluntary (study, caring) and involuntary (ill-health) states that have very different policy implications.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "LF2S/LMS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/economicinactivity/timeseries/lf2s/lms/data", "sourceTitle": "LFS: Economic inactivity rate: UK: All: Aged 16-64: %: SA", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "wp_lt_sickness_inactivity", "name": "Inactivity due to long-term sickness", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Number of people aged 16–64 inactive from the labour market specifically because of long-term illness, a post-pandemic structural concern.", "unit": "million people", "latestValue": 2.792, "previousValue": 2.804, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 78, "levelScore": 92, "trendScore": 48, "volatilityScore": 33, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_labour_market", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (LF69/LMS), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 73, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 85, "delta": -7, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Self-reported health-related inactivity from LFS is subject to the same declining-response-rate caveat and may conflate temporary and chronic conditions.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "LF69/LMS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/economicinactivity/timeseries/lf69/lms/data", "sourceTitle": "LFS: Econ. inactivity reasons: Long Term Sick: UK: 16-64:000s:SA", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "wp_output_per_hour", "name": "Output per hour worked", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Index of GDP output per hour worked (2023=100), measuring underlying labour productivity growth.", "unit": "index, 2023 = 100", "latestValue": 99.3, "previousValue": 99.2, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 28, "levelScore": 18, "trendScore": 49, "volatilityScore": 8, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_productivity", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (LZVB/PRDY), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 26, "delta": 2, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 30, "delta": -2, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Quarterly estimates are subject to significant revision as national accounts data is refined, and services productivity is notoriously difficult to measure.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "LZVB/PRDY", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/labourproductivity/timeseries/lzvb/prdy/data", "sourceTitle": "UK Whole Economy: Output per hour worked SA: Index 2023 = 100", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": true, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 2 } }, { "id": "wp_business_births_closures", "name": "Business births minus closures", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Net business formation rate expressed as birth rate minus death rate in percentage points, indicating whether the enterprise base is growing or contracting.", "unit": "percentage points (birth rate − death rate)", "latestValue": 1.3, "previousValue": 0.2, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 19, "levelScore": 28, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_business_demography", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Business Demography) (business birth rate − death rate), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 22, "delta": -3, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 48, "delta": -29, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Annual frequency means the indicator lags the economic cycle by up to 18 months; VAT and PAYE registration thresholds mean very small businesses are excluded.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Business Demography)", "seriesId": "business birth rate − death rate", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/business/activitysizeandlocation/bulletins/businessdemography/latest", "sourceTitle": "Business demography, UK 2024: birth rate 11.1% − death rate 9.8% = +1.3pp", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "Net rate derived from published birth/death rates. 2023 was +0.2pp (11.0% − 10.8%)." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -3 } }, { "id": "wp_zero_hours", "name": "Zero-hours contracts", "domainId": "work_productivity", "description": "Share of people in employment whose main job is on a zero-hours contract, UK.", "unit": "% of people in employment on a zero-hours contract", "latestValue": 3.57, "previousValue": 3.59, "latestPeriod": "Apr-Jun 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 66, "levelScore": 75, "trendScore": 47, "volatilityScore": 95, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_zero_hours", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_zero_hours), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 86, "delta": -20, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 80, "delta": -14, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Jan-Mar 2026", "toPeriod": "Apr-Jun 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "UK Labour Force Survey; early-year rises partly reflect survey awareness, there is a 2019/20 question-wording break, and the LFS has wider data-quality issues since 2023.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "ons_zero_hours", "sourceTitle": "ONS EMP17 table 1, Apr-Jun 2026: 1,230,049 people on zero hours contracts, 3.57% of people in employment", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/datasets/emp17peopleinemploymentonzerohourscontracts", "frequency": "Quarterly", "note": "Table 1, UK, not seasonally adjusted, main job. ONS reweighting has revised earlier quarters: the Apr-Jun 2024 figure now reads 3.12 in the current edition against 3.5 as originally held. Next edition 18 August 2026.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -20 } }, { "id": "ps_rtt_waiting_list", "name": "NHS referral-to-treatment waiting list (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Total number of incomplete referral-to-treatment pathways in England, measuring accumulated unmet demand for elective NHS care.", "unit": "million incomplete pathways", "latestValue": 7.27, "previousValue": 7.22, "latestPeriod": "June 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 68, "levelScore": 75, "trendScore": 53, "volatilityScore": 97, "confidenceScore": 0.95, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "nhse_rtt", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England (RTT incomplete pathways), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 71, "delta": -3, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 57, "delta": 11, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Covers England only; pathway counting rules have changed over time, and the list excludes patients who have given up seeking treatment.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England", "seriesId": "RTT incomplete pathways", "sourceUrl": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/08/RTT-Overview-Timeseries-Including-Estimates-for-Missing-Trusts-Jun26-XLS-116K-6jPlxd.xlsx", "sourceTitle": "NHS England RTT Overview Timeseries, June 2026: 7,272,291 incomplete pathways (7.27m), 65.8% within 18 weeks", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Total incomplete pathways at month end including estimates for missing trusts. Press notice headline rounds to 7.3 million. Published 13 August 2026.", "historyBackfill": "NHS England, Consultant-led RTT waiting times, incomplete pathways, England. Cited annual points only; 2013-2018 interpolations from the research pass were dropped. https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/rtt-waiting-times/" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -3 } }, { "id": "ps_ae_4hr_performance", "name": "A&E four-hour performance (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Percentage of A&E attendances seen and discharged, admitted or transferred within four hours, against the 95% national standard.", "unit": "% attendances within 4 hours (target 95)", "latestValue": 75.4, "previousValue": 75.7, "latestPeriod": "July 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 61, "levelScore": 65, "trendScore": 52, "volatilityScore": 37, "confidenceScore": 0.95, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "nhse_ae", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England (A&E 4-hour performance (all types)), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 58, "delta": 3, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 58, "delta": 3, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "June 2026", "toPeriod": "July 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only; the four-hour target has been paused and reintroduced at different points, and Type 1 (major A&E) performance differs markedly from the blended figure.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England", "seriesId": "A&E 4-hour performance (all types)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/08/Monthly-AE-Time-Series-July-2026-ET31dkH.xls", "sourceTitle": "NHS England Monthly A&E Time Series, July 2026: 75.4% of attendances seen within 4 hours (all types)", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "July 2026 attendances totalled 2,487,580 with 1,875,001 seen within 4 hours, up from 75.0% in June 2026. Standard is 95%. Published 13 August 2026.", "historyBackfill": "NHS Digital, Hospital A&E Activity, % all-type attendances within 4 hours, England (financial year). 2020-21 uplift is a COVID artefact. https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/hospital-accident--emergency-activity/" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 3 } }, { "id": "ps_cancer_62day", "name": "Cancer 62-day treatment standard (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Percentage of cancer patients starting treatment within 62 days of urgent GP referral, against the 85% national standard.", "unit": "% treated within 62 days of referral (target 85)", "latestValue": 69.9, "previousValue": 70.0, "latestPeriod": "June 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 54, "levelScore": 56, "trendScore": 51, "volatilityScore": 30, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "nhse_cancer", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England (Cancer 62-day standard), accessed 2026-08-15.", "previousStressScore": 49, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 50, "delta": 4, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only; the 62-day clock can be paused for patient-initiated delays, and pathway complexity means like-for-like comparisons over time require care.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England", "seriesId": "Cancer 62-day standard", "sourceUrl": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/08/CWT-CRS-National-Time-Series-Oct-2009-Jun-2026-with-Revisions.xlsx", "sourceTitle": "NHS England Cancer Waiting Times National Time Series: 62 day standard 69.9% in June 2026 (provisional)", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-15", "note": "Standard is 85%. June 2026: 21,054 of 30,124 treated within 62 days. October 2025 to June 2026 figures are provisional and may be revised. Published 13 August 2026. History extended from the national time series workbook (Oct 2009 to Jun 2026 with revisions); Nov 2025 to Jan 2026 transcribed from the Monthly Performance sheet, same 85 per cent standard block as the held points." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "ps_gp_access_pressure", "name": "GP access pressure (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Proportion of GP appointments booked more than 14 days in advance, indicating difficulty accessing timely primary care.", "unit": "% appointments more than 14 days after booking", "latestValue": 18.3, "previousValue": 19.1, "latestPeriod": "June 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 45, "levelScore": 53, "trendScore": 29, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "nhsd_gp_appointments", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England (Appointments in General Practice) (GP appointments booked >2 weeks ahead), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 46, "delta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 54, "delta": -9, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official_in_development", "weakness": "GP appointments dataset is still classified as official statistics in development; practice coverage and booking system compatibility vary, affecting completeness. From the 2026/27 contract NHS England requires clinically urgent patients to be coded and seen the same day, which may shift the booking to appointment distribution towards same day as coding compliance improves; the underlying table is unchanged but the same day share is monitored across releases for a behavioural step change.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England (Appointments in General Practice)", "seriesId": "GP appointments booked >2 weeks ahead", "sourceUrl": "https://files.digital.nhs.uk/42/6D9291/GP_Appointment_Publication_Summary_June_2026.xlsx", "sourceTitle": "NHS Digital, Appointments in General Practice, June 2026, Table 3d: 81.7 per cent of appointments within 14 days of booking", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Pressure is 100 minus the percentage of appointments within 14 days of booking, England row of Table 3d, GP practice systems. Construction verified by reproducing April 2026 at 19.1 from the April file. Published 30 July 2026." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -1 } }, { "id": "ps_delayed_discharges", "name": "Delayed hospital discharges (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Average number of patients per day in English hospitals who are medically fit for discharge but remain in a hospital bed.", "unit": "thousand patients per day not discharged when ready", "latestValue": 14.05, "previousValue": 13.29, "latestPeriod": "July 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 70, "levelScore": 65, "trendScore": 79, "volatilityScore": 29, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "nhse_discharge_delays", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England (Acute Discharge SitRep) (patients no longer meeting criteria to reside), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 65, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 57, "delta": 13, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "June 2026", "toPeriod": "July 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "administrative", "weakness": "Administrative data; the definition of 'delayed discharge' has changed in reporting criteria over time, and reporting compliance varies across trusts.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England (Acute Discharge SitRep)", "seriesId": "patients no longer meeting criteria to reside", "sourceUrl": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/08/Daily-discharge-sitrep-monthly-data-webfile-04-CSV-jul26.csv", "sourceTitle": "NHS England Acute Discharge Situation Report, July 2026: daily average 14,054 patients no longer meeting criteria to reside", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Daily average of patients remaining in hospital who no longer meet the criteria to reside, computed from 31 daily national rows and matching the file's own daily average row. June 2026 average was 13,618." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "ps_crown_court_backlog", "name": "Crown Court outstanding caseload (E&W)", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Total number of open Crown Court cases awaiting hearing in England and Wales, measuring the depth of the criminal justice backlog.", "unit": "thousand open cases", "latestValue": 80.1, "previousValue": 78.3, "latestPeriod": "End Mar 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 84, "levelScore": 95, "trendScore": 61, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "moj_criminal_court_stats", "notes": "Verified official value from Ministry of Justice (Crown Court outstanding caseload), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 86, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 97, "delta": -13, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "End Mar 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Caseload counts reflect court listing practices and capacity rather than purely demand, and case complexity is not captured in simple caseload totals.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Ministry of Justice", "seriesId": "Crown Court outstanding caseload", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/criminal-court-statistics-quarterly-january-to-march-2026/criminal-court-statistics-quarterly-january-to-march-2026", "sourceTitle": "MoJ: Crown Court outstanding caseload 80,061 open cases at end March 2026", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07", "note": "Series high; broadly stable on Dec 2025 (down 37 cases).", "historyBackfill": "MoJ, Criminal Court Statistics Quarterly, Crown Court outstanding caseload, E&W, 31 December. https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/criminal-court-statistics" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "ps_social_care_requests", "name": "Adult social care requests", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "New requests for adult social care support received by local authorities (millions), England, by financial year.", "unit": "million new requests for adult social care support", "latestValue": 2.02, "previousValue": 2.086, "latestPeriod": "2024-25", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 68, "levelScore": 85, "trendScore": 34, "volatilityScore": 20, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "nhse_ascfr", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England Digital / DHSC (nhse_ascfr), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 63, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 87, "delta": -19, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2024-25" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England; counts requests with a determined outcome (not pure demand), and the 2024-25 switch to Client Level Data breaks comparability with earlier years.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "NHS England Digital / DHSC", "seriesId": "nhse_ascfr", "sourceTitle": "Adult Social Care Activity and Finance Report", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/adult-social-care-activity-report-england-2024-to-2025", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "New requests for adult social care (millions), England, financial year (labelled by end year). 2024-25 switched to Client Level Data (break).", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "ps_care_workforce_vacancy", "name": "Adult social care vacancies", "domainId": "public_services", "description": "Share of adult social care roles that are vacant, England, by financial year.", "unit": "% of adult social care roles vacant", "latestValue": 6.2, "previousValue": 7.0, "latestPeriod": "2025-26", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 19, "levelScore": 29, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "skills_for_care", "notes": "Verified official value from Skills for Care (skills_for_care), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 27, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 26, "delta": -7, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2025-26" }, "sourceQuality": "independent", "weakness": "England; a Skills for Care modelled estimate (sector body, not official statistics), and high international recruitment has suppressed recent headline vacancy rates.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Skills for Care", "seriesId": "skills_for_care", "sourceTitle": "Skills for Care: adult social care vacancy rate 6.2%, 2025/26 (down from 7.0%)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.skillsforcare.org.uk/Adult-Social-Care-Workforce-Data/workforceintelligence/Reports-and-visualisations/National-information/Size-and-structure-report.aspx", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Adult social care vacancy rate (%), England, financial year (labelled by end year). Skills for Care modelled estimate (sector body).", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -8 } }, { "id": "ho_price_to_earnings", "name": "House price to earnings ratio (England)", "domainId": "housing", "description": "Ratio of median house prices to median full-time earnings in England, the standard measure of housing affordability for buyers.", "unit": "ratio, median price / median full-time earnings", "latestValue": 7.6, "previousValue": 7.8, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 39, "levelScore": 41, "trendScore": 37, "volatilityScore": 43, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_housing_affordability", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (house price to workplace earnings, England (median)), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 40, "delta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 37, "delta": 2, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only and annual frequency; median price conceals large regional variation, and the measure does not account for interest rates or deposit requirements.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "house price to workplace earnings, England (median)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/bulletins/housingaffordabilityinenglandandwales/2025", "sourceTitle": "Housing affordability in England and Wales: 2025, median home 7.6× earnings", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "England median; eased from 7.8 in 2024.", "historyBackfill": "ONS, Ratio of house price to residence-based earnings (median), England. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/datasets/ratioofhousepricetoresidencebasedearningslowerquartileandmedian" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -1 } }, { "id": "ho_rent_to_income", "name": "Rent to income ratio", "domainId": "housing", "description": "New-let private rent as a share of gross income, measuring the affordability burden of entering the private rented sector.", "unit": "% of gross income on new-let private rent", "latestValue": 36.3, "previousValue": 34.2, "latestPeriod": "FYE 2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 53, "levelScore": 39, "trendScore": 81, "volatilityScore": 41, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "ons_housing_affordability", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (private rental affordability, England), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 52, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 14, "delta": 39, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "FYE 2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "New-let rents diverge significantly from renewal rents, so this measure overstates the burden for long-term tenants while understating entry barriers for new renters.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "private rental affordability, England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/bulletins/privaterentalaffordabilityengland/2024", "sourceTitle": "Private rental affordability, England: 2024, 36.3% of income", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "ONS uses mean rent against median income of existing private-renting households.", "historyBackfill": "ONS, Private rental affordability, England (FYE). Series begins 2015/16; no clean pre-2016 series. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/bulletins/privaterentalaffordabilityengland/2024" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ho_new_homes_vs_household_growth", "name": "Net additional dwellings", "domainId": "housing", "description": "Net additional dwellings delivered in England in the year, measuring housing supply against the ~300,000-a-year ambition.", "unit": "thousand net additional dwellings (England)", "latestValue": 208.6, "previousValue": 221.4, "latestPeriod": "2024–25", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 62, "levelScore": 53, "trendScore": 79, "volatilityScore": 77, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "mhclg_housing_supply", "notes": "Verified official value from MHCLG (net additional dwellings, England), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 63, "delta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 43, "delta": 19, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2024–25" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "A gross supply count; it does not net off demolitions beyond the standard adjustment or directly compare with household formation, so it speaks to supply volume rather than adequacy.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "MHCLG", "seriesId": "net additional dwellings, England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025", "sourceTitle": "Housing supply: net additional dwellings, England 2024–25, 208,600", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "6% fall year-on-year; near-decade low. Metric redefined to absolute net additions.", "historyBackfill": "MHCLG, Housing supply: net additional dwellings, England (financial year). https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -1 } }, { "id": "ho_temporary_accommodation", "name": "Households in temporary accommodation (England)", "domainId": "housing", "description": "Number of households placed in temporary accommodation by local authorities in England, a direct indicator of acute housing system failure.", "unit": "thousand households", "latestValue": 135.58, "previousValue": 134.21, "latestPeriod": "Q1 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 83, "levelScore": 97, "trendScore": 55, "volatilityScore": 30, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "mhclg_homelessness", "notes": "Verified official value from MHCLG (households in temporary accommodation, England), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 78, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 90, "delta": -7, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "Q1 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only administrative data; local authorities are the gatekeepers of the metric, so resource constraints affecting council capacity may suppress recorded numbers.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "MHCLG", "seriesId": "households in temporary accommodation, England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/statutory-homelessness-in-england-january-to-march-2026", "sourceTitle": "MHCLG Statutory homelessness in England, January to March 2026: 135,580 households in temporary accommodation at 31 March 2026", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Record high, up from 134,210 at 31 December 2025. Table TA1, England row; the prior quarter reproduces exactly from the previous release. Published 13 August 2026.", "historyBackfill": "MHCLG, Statutory homelessness live tables (TA1), households in temporary accommodation, England, Q4 each year. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "ho_social_housing_waiting", "name": "Social housing waiting lists (England)", "domainId": "housing", "description": "Number of households on local authority waiting lists for social housing in England, indicating pent-up demand for affordable rented homes.", "unit": "million households", "latestValue": 1.34, "previousValue": 1.33, "latestPeriod": "31 Mar 2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 62, "levelScore": 66, "trendScore": 54, "volatilityScore": 53, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "mhclg_social_housing", "notes": "Verified official value from MHCLG (LA housing register, England), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 61, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 64, "delta": -2, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "31 Mar 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Register inflation is a known limitation: local authorities apply different eligibility criteria and removal processes, causing list sizes to be incomparable across areas.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "MHCLG", "seriesId": "LA housing register, England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/social-housing-lettings-in-england-april-2024-to-march-2025", "sourceTitle": "Social housing lettings, England 2024–25, 1.34m households on waiting lists", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "Highest since 2014.", "historyBackfill": "MHCLG, Live Table 600, households on LA housing registers, England, 31 March. NB 2012→2018 fall is largely policy-driven (Localism Act 2011 register reclassification), not solely reduced need. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-rents-lettings-and-tenancies" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ch_child_poverty_ahc", "name": "Child poverty after housing costs", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Proportion of children living in households below 60% of median income after housing costs, the principal measure of child poverty in the UK.", "unit": "% of children", "latestValue": 27.0, "previousValue": 27.0, "latestPeriod": "FYE 2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 43, "levelScore": 40, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "dwp_cilif", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Work and Pensions (dwp_cilif), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 44, "delta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 43, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat", "fromPeriod": "FYE 2025", "toPeriod": "FYE 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Annual publication carries a 12-month lag; the relative measure can show falling child poverty during recessions when median income also falls. A FYE2022 admin-data switch is a structural break, so year-on-year deltas across that boundary are misleading.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Work and Pensions", "seriesId": "dwp_cilif", "sourceTitle": "Households Below Average Income (HBAI), FYE 1995 to FYE 2025", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/households-below-average-income-for-financial-years-ending-1995-to-2025", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "% of children below 60% of median income after housing costs, UK. Admin-data switch from FYE2022 is a structural break, so year-on-year deltas are misleading (previous=latest).", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -1 } }, { "id": "ch_persistent_absence", "name": "Persistent school absence (England)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Share of pupils in state-funded schools in England missing 10% or more of possible school sessions, indicating a systemic attendance crisis.", "unit": "% pupils missing ≥10% of sessions", "latestValue": 18.1431, "previousValue": 19.95, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Termly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 44, "levelScore": 64, "trendScore": 5, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "dfe_absence", "notes": "Verified official value from DfE (019d209c/TuAuP), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 50, "delta": -6, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 64, "delta": -20, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only; the 10% threshold is a policy definition rather than an evidence-based harm threshold, and the metric cannot distinguish school-refusing from poverty-related absence.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "DfE", "seriesId": "019d209c/TuAuP", "sourceUrl": "https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/pupil-absence-in-schools-in-england", "sourceTitle": "Persistent absence, % of pupil enrolments (state-funded, England), DfE EES API", "frequency": "AY (DfE EES API)", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -6 } }, { "id": "ch_disadvantage_gap", "name": "Disadvantage attainment gap (KS4, England)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Disadvantage gap index at Key Stage 4, measuring the attainment difference between pupils eligible for free school meals and their peers.", "unit": "gap index", "latestValue": 3.92, "previousValue": 3.93, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 67, "levelScore": 77, "trendScore": 49, "volatilityScore": 17, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "dfe_ks4", "notes": "Verified official value from DfE (18e39901/CdRId), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 71, "delta": -4, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Annual frequency and definitional changes to the gap index methodology in 2019 limit long-run comparability before and after the reform.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "DfE", "seriesId": "18e39901/CdRId", "sourceUrl": "https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/key-stage-4-performance", "sourceTitle": "KS4 disadvantage attainment gap index (England), DfE EES API", "frequency": "AY (DfE EES API)", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "ch_neet_rate", "name": "Young people not in education, employment or training (16–24)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Proportion of 16–24 year-olds who are not in education, employment or training, indicating the depth of youth disengagement from productive activity.", "unit": "%", "latestValue": 13.3372, "previousValue": 13.6014, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 52, "levelScore": 57, "trendScore": 40, "volatilityScore": 60, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "dfe_neet", "notes": "Verified official value from DfE (019cc380/6DPUr), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 53, "delta": -1, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 74, "delta": -22, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Derived from LFS so inherits the declining-response-rate uncertainty; NEET status is a snapshot measure that does not capture duration or severity of disengagement.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "DfE", "seriesId": "019cc380/6DPUr", "sourceUrl": "https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/neet-statistics-annual-brief", "sourceTitle": "NEET rate, ages 16–24, % (England, LFS Q4), DfE EES API", "frequency": "CY (DfE EES API)", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -1 } }, { "id": "ch_camhs_access_pressure", "name": "Children's mental-health caseload", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Number of children and young people with an open referral to NHS Children and Young People's Mental Health Services, a measure of demand pressure on the service.", "unit": "thousand children with an open referral to CYP mental-health services", "latestValue": 538.8, "previousValue": 520.5, "latestPeriod": "June 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 68, "levelScore": 68, "trendScore": 68, "volatilityScore": 9, "confidenceScore": 0.65, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "nhse_camhs", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England (Mental Health Services Monthly Statistics) (CYP in contact with mental health services), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": 6, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 59, "delta": 9, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official_in_development", "weakness": "Published as 'in contact with services' (open referrals), which includes those receiving care as well as those waiting: not a pure waiting list; counting methodologies vary across NHS trusts.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England (Mental Health Services Monthly Statistics)", "seriesId": "CYP in contact with mental health services", "sourceUrl": "https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/mental-health-services-monthly-statistics/performance-june-2026", "sourceTitle": "Mental Health Services Monthly Statistics, Performance June 2026: 538,766 children and young people with an open referral", "frequency": "monthly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Measure CYP01, England, open referral caseload at end of month, in thousands. April 2026 reproduced at 520,488 matching the held series. Published 13 August 2026." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 6 } }, { "id": "ch_infant_mortality", "name": "Infant mortality", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Deaths of infants under one year per 1,000 live births, England and Wales.", "unit": "infant deaths per 1,000 live births", "latestValue": 3.9, "previousValue": 3.9, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 61, "levelScore": 67, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 28, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_infant_mortality", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_infant_mortality), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 58, "delta": 3, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": -1, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England & Wales; small annual death counts make single-year moves noisy, so read the multi-year trend (flat-to-rising since the 2014 low).", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "ons_infant_mortality", "sourceTitle": "Child and infant mortality in England and Wales", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/childhoodinfantandperinatalmortalityinenglandandwales/2024", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Infant deaths (under 1) per 1,000 live births, E&W. Small counts -> year-to-year noise; flat-to-rising since the 2014 low.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 3 } }, { "id": "ch_looked_after", "name": "Children looked after", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Children looked after by local authorities per 10,000 children, England, at 31 March.", "unit": "children looked after per 10,000", "latestValue": 67, "previousValue": 69, "latestPeriod": "Year ending 31 Mar 2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 59, "levelScore": 70, "trendScore": 36, "volatilityScore": 18, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "dfe_looked_after", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Education (dfe_looked_after), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 52, "delta": 7, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 67, "delta": -8, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "Year ending 31 Mar 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England; the rate reflects both underlying need and local-authority thresholds and policy, which vary.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Education", "seriesId": "dfe_looked_after", "sourceTitle": "Children looked after in England including adoptions", "sourceUrl": "https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/children-looked-after-in-england-including-adoptions/2025", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Children looked after per 10,000, England, at 31 March. 2011 interpolated value dropped. 2024 rate corrected to 69 to match the publisher's own comparison figure.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 7 } }, { "id": "ch_ehcp_timeliness", "name": "EHC plan timeliness", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Share of new Education, Health and Care plans issued within the statutory 20 weeks (excluding exception cases), England.", "unit": "% of new EHC plans issued within 20 weeks", "latestValue": 46.1, "previousValue": 46.4, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 81, "levelScore": 95, "trendScore": 53, "volatilityScore": 62, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "dfe_ehcp", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Education (dfe_ehcp), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 79, "delta": 2, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 93, "delta": -12, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England; excludes statutory exception cases, and a 2022 reporting-scope change coincides with the sharp fall in performance.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Education", "seriesId": "dfe_ehcp", "sourceTitle": "DfE: 46.1% of new EHC plans issued within 20 weeks, 2025", "sourceUrl": "https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/education-health-and-care-plans/2026", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "% new EHC plans issued within 20 weeks (excl. exceptions), England. 2022 reporting scope change + genuine deterioration.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 2 } }, { "id": "rl_csew_victimisation", "name": "Crime Survey victimisation (headline crime)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "description": "Percentage of adults in England and Wales who experienced any CSEW headline crime in the past 12 months.", "unit": "% adults victimised in last 12 months", "latestValue": 17.1, "previousValue": 17.07, "latestPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 53, "levelScore": 54, "trendScore": 51, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_csew", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Crime Survey for England & Wales) (CSEW headline victimisation), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 52, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 52, "delta": 1, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "CSEW excludes fraud from its headline crime category in older series; survey suspension during COVID created a multi-year gap in the time series.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Crime Survey for England & Wales)", "seriesId": "CSEW headline victimisation", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesappendixtables/yearendingmarch2026/appendixtablesyemar2026.xlsx", "sourceTitle": "ONS Crime in England and Wales appendix tables, year ending March 2026, Table A3a: 17.1 per cent victims of headline crime including fraud and computer misuse", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Unchanged from year ending March 2025 at the one decimal place the appendix table publishes. Published 23 July 2026." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "rl_fraud_incidents", "name": "Fraud incidents (CSEW)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "description": "Estimated total fraud incidents per year in England and Wales based on CSEW, the largest crime type by volume.", "unit": "million incidents per year", "latestValue": 4.5, "previousValue": 4.2, "latestPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 82, "levelScore": 80, "trendScore": 86, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "ons_csew", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Crime Survey for England & Wales) (CSEW fraud incidents), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 84, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 81, "delta": 1, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "CSEW fraud estimates have wide confidence intervals and the survey was redesigned to capture fraud more comprehensively in 2015, creating a structural break in the series.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Crime Survey for England & Wales)", "seriesId": "CSEW fraud incidents", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesappendixtables/yearendingmarch2026/appendixtablesyemar2026.xlsx", "sourceTitle": "ONS Crime in England and Wales appendix tables, year ending March 2026, Table A1a: 4,483,000 fraud incidents", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Up from 4,159,000 in year ending March 2025; ONS assesses the change as not statistically significant, though fraud victims rose 10 per cent. Published 23 July 2026.", "historyBackfill": "ONS, Crime in England and Wales, CSEW fraud incidents, millions (YE March); series from 2017. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/bulletins/crimeinenglandandwales/latest" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "rl_theft_robbery_burglary", "name": "Theft, robbery and burglary (CSEW)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "description": "Combined CSEW estimate of theft, robbery and burglary incidents per year in England and Wales, measuring conventional acquisitive crime.", "unit": "million incidents per year", "latestValue": 2.7, "previousValue": 2.88, "latestPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 20, "levelScore": 21, "trendScore": 19, "volatilityScore": 67, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_csew", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Crime Survey for England & Wales) (CSEW theft (incl. burglary) + robbery), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 25, "delta": -5, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 49, "delta": -29, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "CSEW is a household survey and does not capture crime against commercial premises; theft (incl. burglary) and robbery are published separately, so the combined figure here sums the two.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Crime Survey for England & Wales)", "seriesId": "CSEW theft (incl. burglary) + robbery", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesappendixtables/yearendingmarch2026/appendixtablesyemar2026.xlsx", "sourceTitle": "ONS Crime in England and Wales appendix tables, year ending March 2026, Table A1a: theft 2,628,000 plus robbery 71,000 incidents", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Theft offences include domestic burglary. Down from 2,884,000 combined in year ending March 2025. Published 23 July 2026.", "historyBackfill": "ONS, Crime in England and Wales, CSEW theft offences, millions (YE March). NB ONS 'theft offences' excludes robbery. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/bulletins/crimeinenglandandwales/latest" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -5 } }, { "id": "rl_charge_rate", "name": "Offences resulting in charge or summons (E&W)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "description": "Proportion of recorded crimes in England and Wales that result in a charge or summons, measuring the system's ability to hold offenders accountable.", "unit": "% of recorded offences", "latestValue": 7.3, "previousValue": 7.1, "latestPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 40, "levelScore": 42, "trendScore": 36, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "home_office_crime_outcomes", "notes": "Verified official value from Home Office (charge/summons rate, E&W), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 46, "delta": -6, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 33, "delta": 7, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2026", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "The denominator is recorded crime, which is itself incomplete; forces vary in recording practices, and changes in recording standards affect the ratio independently of investigative performance.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Home Office", "seriesId": "charge/summons rate, E&W", "sourceUrl": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a5f9de40dd52549f5f96ca4/outcomes-mar26-tables-230726.ods", "sourceTitle": "Home Office Crime outcomes in England and Wales, year ending March 2026, Table 1.2: 7.3 per cent of victim based offences charged or summonsed", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Annual publication released 23 July 2026, superseding the interim year ending December 2025 estimate. Year ending March 2025 as first published was 6.3 per cent.", "historyBackfill": "Home Office, Crime outcomes in England and Wales, % charged/summonsed (YE March). 2016 dropped (interpolated). https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/crime-outcomes-in-england-and-wales-statistics" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -6 } }, { "id": "rl_court_delay", "name": "Crown Court timeliness (E&W)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "description": "Median number of days from offence to completion in Crown Court in England and Wales, measuring the responsiveness of the criminal justice system.", "unit": "median days, offence to completion", "latestValue": 346, "previousValue": 338, "latestPeriod": "Q1 2026", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 58, "levelScore": 56, "trendScore": 62, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "moj_criminal_court_stats", "notes": "Verified official value from Ministry of Justice (Crown Court median days offence→completion), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": -4, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 55, "delta": 3, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "Q1 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Median conceals large variation by case type; the offence date is not always accurately recorded, and case complexity changes over time affect average timeliness independently of capacity.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Ministry of Justice", "seriesId": "Crown Court median days offence→completion", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/criminal-court-statistics-quarterly-january-to-march-2026/criminal-court-statistics-quarterly-january-to-march-2026", "sourceTitle": "MoJ: Crown Court median 346 days from offence to completion, Jan to Mar 2026", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07", "note": "Up 20 days (6%) on Q1 2025; pre-COVID baseline about 254 days.", "historyBackfill": "MoJ, Criminal Court Statistics Quarterly, median days offence-to-completion, Crown Court, E&W (Q4). https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/criminal-court-statistics" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -4 } }, { "id": "rl_prison_capacity", "name": "Prison capacity utilisation (E&W)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "description": "Prison population as a percentage of usable operational capacity in England and Wales, measuring the margin of safety in the custodial estate.", "unit": "% of usable operational capacity", "latestValue": 97.6, "previousValue": 97.4, "latestPeriod": "24 Aug 2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 50, "levelScore": 50, "trendScore": 51, "volatilityScore": 9, "confidenceScore": 0.95, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "moj_prison_population", "notes": "Verified official value from Ministry of Justice (prison population vs usable operational capacity, E&W), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 59, "delta": -9, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 46, "delta": 4, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "10 Aug 2026", "toPeriod": "24 Aug 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "administrative", "weakness": "Usable operational capacity is a managed administrative figure that can be adjusted by HMPPS; capacity reductions (e.g. cell refurbishments) can mechanically worsen the ratio.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Ministry of Justice", "seriesId": "prison population vs usable operational capacity, E&W", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/prison-population-weekly-estate-figures-2026", "sourceTitle": "MoJ Prison population and capacity briefing, Monday 24 August 2026: population 86,843 of useable operational capacity 88,937 = 97.6%", "frequency": "periodic", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25", "note": "Population 86,536 divided by usable operational capacity 88,862. Prior week 3 August was 97.3 per cent. Verified directly from the weekly ODS data sheet. History extended with one August observation per year from the MoJ weekly Population and Capacity Briefing ODS files (population divided by usable operational capacity). The undated 2025 point of 97.8, which could not be traced to any weekly bulletin, is replaced by the verified 11 August 2025 reading of 98.6 (88,238 of 89,529). MoJ recalculates the operating margin inside usable capacity each year; that is routine, not a series break." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -9 } }, { "id": "fi_debt_to_gdp", "name": "Public sector net debt", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "description": "Public sector net debt as a percentage of GDP, the headline measure of government indebtedness relative to the size of the economy.", "unit": "% of GDP", "latestValue": 94.3, "previousValue": 94.8, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 67, "levelScore": 78, "trendScore": 47, "volatilityScore": 79, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_public_sector_finances", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (HF6X/PUSF), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 69, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 70, "delta": -3, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "GDP is itself subject to revision, meaning the ratio can shift without any change in the stock of debt; the measure excludes off-balance-sheet liabilities.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "HF6X/PUSF", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/timeseries/hf6x/pusf/data", "sourceTitle": "PS: Net Debt (excluding public sector banks) as a % of GDP: NSA", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": true, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "fi_borrowing_to_gdp", "name": "Public sector net borrowing", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "description": "Annual public sector net borrowing as a percentage of GDP, measuring the flow of new borrowing relative to economic capacity.", "unit": "% of GDP", "latestValue": 4.2, "previousValue": 5.2, "latestPeriod": "2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 23, "levelScore": 35, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_public_sector_finances", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (J5IJ/PUSF), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 31, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 69, "delta": -46, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Monthly estimates are heavily revised in subsequent months; cyclically adjusted borrowing (a better sustainability measure) requires OBR modelling not available monthly.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "J5IJ/PUSF", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/timeseries/j5ij/pusf/data", "sourceTitle": "PS: Net Borrowing (exc PS Banks) as a % of GDP: CPNSA", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -8 } }, { "id": "fi_debt_interest_pressure", "name": "Debt interest as share of revenue", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "description": "Central government debt interest payments as a share of total public sector receipts, measuring how much of tax revenue is consumed by debt servicing.", "unit": "% of public sector receipts", "latestValue": 8.7, "previousValue": 8.2, "latestPeriod": "2025-26", "updateFrequency": "Biannual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 58, "levelScore": 47, "trendScore": 80, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "obr_efo", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS / OBR (debt interest as % of receipts), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 46, "delta": 12, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 46, "delta": 12, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025-26" }, "sourceQuality": "independent", "weakness": "Biannual OBR publication means data is updated infrequently; the ratio is sensitive to short-term interest rate movements that may reverse without structural change.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS / OBR", "seriesId": "debt interest as % of receipts", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/bulletins/publicsectorfinances/march2026", "sourceTitle": "ONS Public sector finances, FYE March 2026: central government debt interest 97.6bn of receipts 1,121.5bn = 8.7%", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25", "note": "Derived from ONS public sector finances; OBR also quotes ~3.7% of GDP." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 12 } }, { "id": "fi_current_budget_deficit", "name": "Current budget deficit", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "description": "Current budget balance (excluding investment) as a percentage of GDP; positive values indicate a deficit, meaning day-to-day spending exceeds receipts.", "unit": "% of GDP (positive = deficit)", "latestValue": 1.6, "previousValue": 2.6, "latestPeriod": "2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 22, "levelScore": 32, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_public_sector_finances", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (JW2V/PUSF), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 30, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 60, "delta": -38, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Current budget balance is the fiscal rule metric but its definition can be adjusted by the government, meaning the threshold for 'breach' is not fixed.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "JW2V/PUSF", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/timeseries/jw2v/pusf/data", "sourceTitle": "PS: Current Budget Deficit (exc PS Banks) as a % of GDP: CPNSA", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": true, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -8 } }, { "id": "fi_net_investment", "name": "Public sector net investment", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "description": "Public sector net investment as a percentage of GDP, measuring the government's contribution to the long-term productive capital stock.", "unit": "% of GDP", "latestValue": 2.6, "previousValue": 2.6, "latestPeriod": "2026", "updateFrequency": "Monthly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 30, "levelScore": 20, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_public_sector_finances", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (MUB2/PUSF), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 37, "delta": -7, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 15, "delta": 15, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Investment spending is often subject to in-year underspend and reprinting; capital spending quality (what is being invested in) is not captured by the aggregate.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "MUB2/PUSF", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/timeseries/mub2/pusf/data", "sourceTitle": "PS: Net Investment (exc PS Banks) as a % of GDP: CPNSA", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25T14:04:00Z" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -7 } }, { "id": "fi_fiscal_headroom", "name": "Headroom against fiscal rules", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "description": "OBR estimate of the margin between forecast borrowing and the government's stated fiscal rules, in nominal billions, indicating the buffer before a breach.", "unit": "£ billion", "latestValue": 22.0, "previousValue": 9.9, "latestPeriod": "Nov 2025 EFO", "updateFrequency": "Biannual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 30, "levelScore": 45, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.7, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "obr_efo", "notes": "Verified official value from OBR (headroom against the fiscal mandate), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 32, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 67, "delta": -37, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Nov 2025 EFO", "toPeriod": "Nov 2025 EFO" }, "sourceQuality": "independent", "weakness": "Highly model-dependent; OBR forecasts carry substantial uncertainty bands that are not reflected in the headline number, and rules themselves may be redefined.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "OBR", "seriesId": "headroom against the fiscal mandate", "sourceUrl": "https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-november-2025/", "sourceTitle": "OBR EFO November 2025, £22bn headroom against the current-budget rule", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "Up from £9.9bn (March 2025 EFO). Mandate now assessed once a year at Budget." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "ie_industrial_energy_price", "name": "Industrial electricity price premium", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "description": "UK industrial electricity price as a percentage above the IEA median for comparable industrial economies, measuring competitive disadvantage from energy costs.", "unit": "% above IEA median industrial price", "latestValue": 63, "previousValue": 63, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 59, "levelScore": 63, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "desnz_energy_prices", "notes": "Verified official value from DESNZ (UK industrial electricity premium vs IEA median), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 58, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 59, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "IEA comparators and exchange-rate timing affect the premium calculation; the industrial price basket definition varies across countries making exact comparisons approximate.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "DESNZ", "seriesId": "UK industrial electricity premium vs IEA median", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/international-industrial-energy-prices", "sourceTitle": "DESNZ international industrial energy prices, UK ~63% above IEA median (2024)", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "UK 26.6 p/kWh, highest of 25 IEA reporting countries; premium vs IEA median. Freshness checked 13 August 2026: Table 5.3.1 was last updated 28 May 2026 and still ends at 2024; no newer international comparison year exists." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ie_grid_connection_delay", "name": "Grid connection queue delay", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "description": "Median years between application and connection offer for transmission-connected projects, measuring the queue backlog constraining clean energy deployment.", "unit": "median years to connection offer", "latestValue": 7.5368, "previousValue": 8.4835, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Periodic", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 37, "levelScore": 55, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 32, "confidenceScore": 0.6, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "neso_connections", "notes": "Seed value. No published official figure exists for this indicator yet, so a provisional placeholder is shown in its place.", "previousStressScore": 36, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 48, "delta": -11, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "administrative", "weakness": "NESO connections data is administrative and subject to revision as reform programmes cancel historic queue positions; data reliability is rated low due to ongoing queue reform.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": false, "provenance": { "status": "seed" }, "scored": false, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ie_rail_reliability", "name": "Rail cancellations (GB)", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "description": "Percentage of scheduled trains in Great Britain that were cancelled or part-cancelled, measuring the reliability of the national rail network.", "unit": "% trains cancelled or part-cancelled", "latestValue": 4.1, "previousValue": 3.5, "latestPeriod": "2024–25", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 63, "levelScore": 44, "trendScore": 100, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "orr_rail_performance", "notes": "Verified official value from ORR (trains cancelled, GB), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 40, "delta": 23, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024–25" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Cancellation rates are affected by industrial action and extreme weather which are temporary rather than structural; ORR methodology distinguishes planned and unplanned cancellations with different implications.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ORR", "seriesId": "trains cancelled, GB", "sourceUrl": "https://www.orr.gov.uk/annual-assessment-network-rail-2024-2025/train-service-performance", "sourceTitle": "ORR Annual Assessment 2024–25, 4.1% cancellations score (highest since 2014)", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "Against a 3.4% target; full=1, part=0.5 weighting." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ie_road_condition", "name": "Local road condition (England)", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "description": "Percentage of local roads in England assessed as requiring maintenance consideration, indicating the backlog of deferred infrastructure investment.", "unit": "% local roads needing maintenance consideration", "latestValue": 17, "previousValue": 17, "latestPeriod": "To Mar 2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 35, "levelScore": 28, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.7, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "dft_road_conditions", "notes": "Verified official value from DfT (local roads needing maintenance (unclassified), England), accessed 2026-06-13.", "previousStressScore": 37, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 35, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat", "fromPeriod": "To Mar 2025", "toPeriod": "To Mar 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England-only; local authority survey response rates and road assessment methodologies are not fully standardised, and the 'maintenance consideration' threshold is a broad indicator rather than a precise engineering standard.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "DfT", "seriesId": "local roads needing maintenance (unclassified), England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/road-conditions-in-england-to-march-2025", "sourceTitle": "Road conditions in England to Mar 2025, 17% of unclassified roads red", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-13", "note": "Unclassified roads (the bulk of the local network); local A roads 5%, B/C 7%." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "ie_storm_overflows", "name": "Storm overflow spill duration (England)", "domainId": "environment_climate", "description": "Total hours of storm overflow discharges from monitored assets in England per year, measuring the scale of sewage pollution of rivers and coastal waters.", "unit": "million hours of monitored spills per year", "latestValue": 1.874, "previousValue": 3.614, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 20, "levelScore": 31, "trendScore": 0, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ea_storm_overflows", "notes": "Verified official value from Environment Agency (storm overflow spill duration, England), accessed 2026-06-23.", "previousStressScore": 23, "delta": -3, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 63, "delta": -43, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "administrative", "weakness": "Event Duration Monitors have increased coverage over time, meaning rising totals may partly reflect improved monitoring rather than worsening environmental performance.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Environment Agency", "seriesId": "storm overflow spill duration, England", "sourceUrl": "https://environment.data.gov.uk/dataset/21e15f12-0df8-4bfc-b763-45226c16a8ac", "sourceTitle": "EA Event Duration Monitoring 2025: 1.87m hours of monitored spills (down from 3.61m in 2024)", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-06-23", "note": "1,873,751 hours in 2025, down from 3,614,427 in 2024. The fall is largely weather-driven (2025 was notably dry) and does not by itself indicate reduced reliance on storm overflows." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -3 } }, { "id": "ie_climate_adaptation", "name": "Climate adaptation readiness", "domainId": "environment_climate", "description": "Percentage of Climate Change Committee adaptation outcomes assessed as having credible delivery plans, measuring preparedness for climate change impacts.", "unit": "% CCC adaptation outcomes with credible plans", "latestValue": 34.8391, "previousValue": 33.0846, "latestPeriod": "2023", "updateFrequency": "Biennial", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 51, "levelScore": 65, "trendScore": 23, "volatilityScore": 16, "confidenceScore": 0.6, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ccc_adaptation", "notes": "Seed value. No published official figure exists for this indicator yet, so a provisional placeholder is shown in its place.", "previousStressScore": 47, "delta": 4, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 52, "delta": -1, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2023" }, "sourceQuality": "independent", "weakness": "CCC assessments are qualitative expert judgements rather than quantitative outcomes; biennial frequency means conditions can deteriorate significantly between reports. Latest reference: CCC 2025 progress report: 0 of 46 adaptation outcomes rated good for delivery (CCC 2025).", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": false, "provenance": { "status": "seed" }, "scored": false, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 4 } }, { "id": "tw_life_satisfaction", "name": "Life satisfaction", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Mean self-reported life satisfaction score on a 0–10 scale from the ONS Annual Population Survey well-being module.", "unit": "mean score, 0–10", "latestValue": 7.5, "previousValue": 7.5, "latestPeriod": "Q4 2025", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 61, "levelScore": 67, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 16, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_wellbeing_dashboard", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (Mean life satisfaction score (0 to 10), UK, quarterly APS), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 57, "delta": 4, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": -1, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Q4 2024", "toPeriod": "Q4 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Self-reported subjective measure; mean scores compress distributional differences and the 0–10 scale is not interval-calibrated across respondents.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "Mean life satisfaction score (0 to 10), UK, quarterly APS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/datasets/quarterlypersonalwellbeingestimatesnonseasonallyadjusted", "sourceTitle": "ONS Quarterly personal wellbeing estimates, October to December 2025: mean life satisfaction 7.5", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Worksheet 2, Oct to Dec 2025 row, mean score 7.5. APS based quarterly estimates, UK, not seasonally adjusted, mean score out of 10. The ONS beta API copy of this dataset is frozen at 2023, so values are transcribed from the published workbook. ONS classes APS derived wellbeing estimates as official statistics in development while APS sample quality recovers; the annual bulletin is paused. Next quarterly edition 28 August 2026." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 4 } }, { "id": "tw_anxiety", "name": "Anxiety", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Mean self-reported anxiety score on a 0–10 scale from the ONS well-being module (higher = more anxious), measuring population-level psychological strain.", "unit": "mean score, 0–10 (higher = more anxious)", "latestValue": 3.2, "previousValue": 3.1, "latestPeriod": "Q4 2025", "updateFrequency": "Quarterly", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 73, "levelScore": 77, "trendScore": 66, "volatilityScore": 40, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "ons_wellbeing_dashboard", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (Mean anxiety score (0 to 10), UK, quarterly APS), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 70, "delta": 3, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 60, "delta": 13, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "Q4 2024", "toPeriod": "Q4 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Headline mean anxiety scores mask large variation by age, gender and deprivation; the well-being module question wording creates priming effects that vary with question context.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "Mean anxiety score (0 to 10), UK, quarterly APS", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/datasets/quarterlypersonalwellbeingestimatesnonseasonallyadjusted", "sourceTitle": "ONS Quarterly personal wellbeing estimates, October to December 2025: mean anxiety 3.2", "frequency": "quarterly", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13", "note": "Worksheet 8, Oct to Dec 2025 row, mean score 3.2. APS based quarterly estimates, UK, not seasonally adjusted, mean score out of 10. The ONS beta API copy of this dataset is frozen at 2023, so values are transcribed from the published workbook. ONS classes APS derived wellbeing estimates as official statistics in development while APS sample quality recovers; the annual bulletin is paused. Next quarterly edition 28 August 2026." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 3 } }, { "id": "tw_loneliness", "name": "Chronic loneliness", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Percentage of adults who report feeling often or always lonely, measuring the depth of social isolation across the population.", "unit": "% adults often or always lonely", "latestValue": 8.0, "previousValue": 7.0, "latestPeriod": "May 2026", "updateFrequency": "Periodic", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 61, "levelScore": 42, "trendScore": 100, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "ons_opn", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Opinions and Lifestyle Survey) (OPN chronic loneliness), accessed 2026-06-23.", "previousStressScore": 60, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 39, "delta": 22, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "May 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "ONS Opinions and Lifestyle Survey is a small quota sample with periodic fieldwork; the loneliness question is not asked consistently, limiting time-series continuity.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Opinions and Lifestyle Survey)", "seriesId": "OPN chronic loneliness", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/datasets/publicopinionsandsocialtrendsgreatbritainpersonalwellbeingandloneliness", "sourceTitle": "Public opinions and social trends, GB: 8% feel lonely often or always (OPN, 6 to 31 May 2026)", "frequency": "periodic", "accessedAt": "2026-06-23", "note": "ONS Opinions and Lifestyle Survey, latest wave 6 to 31 May 2026 (Table 11). The current published table rounds to whole numbers (8%)." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "tw_institutional_trust", "name": "Trust in national government", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Percentage of adults reporting that they trust the national government, a headline indicator of democratic legitimacy and civic confidence.", "unit": "% reporting trust", "latestValue": 29.2, "previousValue": 27.9, "latestPeriod": "March 2026", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 47, "levelScore": 57, "trendScore": 27, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.7, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_trust_in_government", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (Opinions and Lifestyle Survey) (trust in national government), accessed 2026-06-23.", "previousStressScore": 47, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 57, "delta": -10, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "March 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "Annual survey data; trust measures are highly sensitive to current political events and recent scandals at the time of fieldwork, reducing reliability as a structural trend indicator.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS (Opinions and Lifestyle Survey)", "seriesId": "trust in national government", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/bulletins/measuringprogresswellbeingandbeyondgdpintheuk/june2026", "sourceTitle": "ONS: 29.2% of adults tend to trust the UK government, March 2026 (Measuring progress, well-being and beyond GDP in the UK, June 2026)", "frequency": "periodic", "accessedAt": "2026-06-23", "note": "The dedicated trustingovernmentuk dataset is dormant (last 2023). The live figure is published in the ONS national well-being / beyond-GDP series from the Opinions and Lifestyle Survey." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 0 } }, { "id": "tw_community_participation", "name": "Regular formal volunteering", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Percentage of adults who volunteer formally at least once a month through a group, club or organisation, measuring civic engagement and social cohesion.", "unit": "% adults volunteering at least monthly", "latestValue": 18, "previousValue": 17, "latestPeriod": "2025/26", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 40, "levelScore": 50, "trendScore": 21, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.7, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "dcms_community_life", "notes": "Verified official value from DCMS (formal volunteering at least monthly, England), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 44, "delta": -4, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 43, "delta": -3, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025/26" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "A medium-sized annual survey; volunteering rates are affected by economic conditions that change participation without reflecting structural social change. From 2025/26 the source is the Community and Engagement Survey, which replaced the Community Life Survey in October 2025, so the latest point spans two collection methodologies.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "DCMS", "seriesId": "formal volunteering at least monthly, England", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/community-and-engagement-survey-202526-volunteering/community-and-engagement-survey-202526-volunteering-and-charitable-giving-report", "sourceTitle": "DCMS Community and Engagement Survey 2025/26: 18% of adults volunteered formally at least monthly", "frequency": "annual", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25", "note": "From 2025/26 the source is the Community and Engagement Survey, which replaced the Community Life Survey in October 2025, so the 2025/26 estimate spans two collection methodologies. DCMS describes the move from 17% to 18% as a 2 percentage point increase; the arithmetic difference is 1 point." }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -4 } }, { "id": "tw_safe_after_dark", "name": "Feeling safe after dark", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Share of adults who feel very or fairly safe walking alone in their local area after dark, England and Wales.", "unit": "% of adults feeling safe walking alone after dark", "latestValue": 78.0, "previousValue": 78.4, "latestPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 41, "levelScore": 35, "trendScore": 53, "volatilityScore": 22, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_csew", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_csew), accessed 2026-08-13.", "previousStressScore": 39, "delta": 2, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 36, "delta": 5, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "YE Mar 2025", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "England & Wales; the CSEW question has multiple breaks (2012/13 sub-sample move, 2016/17 omission, 2020-22 COVID suspension), so it is not a clean trend. ONS discontinued the standalone perceptions article; the figure is corroborated via the CSEW.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "ons_csew", "sourceTitle": "ONS CSEW Annual supplementary tables, year ending March 2026, Table B7: 78.0 per cent felt safe walking alone after dark", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesannualsupplementarytables", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Table B7, all people aged 16 and over, 77.98 per cent, year ending March 2026, published 23 July 2026; ONS flags the change from the prior year as not statistically significant. The current edition restates year ending March 2024 as 79.5 (previously 79.0), adopted here. The question was not asked in the year ending March 2017 questionnaire only; the series itself continues, next edition July 2027.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-13" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 2 } }, { "id": "tw_belonging", "name": "Neighbourhood belonging", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "description": "Share of adults who feel they belong strongly to their immediate neighbourhood, England.", "unit": "% of adults who feel they belong to their neighbourhood", "latestValue": 61, "previousValue": 62, "latestPeriod": "2025/26", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 56, "levelScore": 56, "trendScore": 58, "volatilityScore": 24, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "dcms_community_life", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Culture, Media and Sport (dcms_community_life), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": 14, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 43, "delta": 13, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2025/26" }, "sourceQuality": "survey", "weakness": "England; the Community Life Survey has a 2016-2020 gap in published tables and a 2020/21 collection-mode change. From 2025/26 the source is the Community and Engagement Survey, which replaced it in October 2025, so the latest point spans two collection methodologies.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Culture, Media and Sport", "seriesId": "dcms_community_life", "sourceTitle": "DCMS Community and Engagement Survey 2025/26: 61% of adults felt they belonged very or fairly strongly to their neighbourhood", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/community-and-engagement-survey-202526-summary-report/community-and-engagement-survey-202526-summary-report", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "From 2025/26 the source is the Community and Engagement Survey, which replaced the Community Life Survey in October 2025. The 2025/26 estimate combines April to September 2025 collected on the old Participation Survey and October 2025 to March 2026 on the new survey, weighted towards the larger later sample. DCMS compares the two years directly in its own headline.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 14 } }, { "id": "ph_drug_deaths", "name": "Drug-poisoning deaths", "domainId": "population_health", "description": "Age-standardised rate of deaths related to drug poisoning, a direct measure of the most acute end of population health and social distress.", "unit": "deaths per million population (age-standardised)", "latestValue": 93.9, "previousValue": 93.0, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 83, "levelScore": 97, "trendScore": 55, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_drug_poisoning", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_drug_poisoning), accessed 2026-09-11.", "previousStressScore": 93, "delta": -10, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 98, "delta": -15, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England and Wales; 'drug poisoning' is broader than drug-misuse deaths, and registration delays mean the most recent years are typically revised upward.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "ons_drug_poisoning", "sourceTitle": "Deaths related to drug poisoning in England and Wales", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsrelatedtodrugpoisoningenglandandwalesreferencetable", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Age-standardised rate per million, England & Wales, from the ONS 2024 registrations reference table, which restates every earlier year on rebased populations (2023 = 93.0, not the 82.5 an earlier transcription held). 2024 = record high.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-09-11" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -10 } }, { "id": "ph_suicide_rate", "name": "Suicide rate", "domainId": "population_health", "description": "Age-standardised suicide rate, a core indicator of acute population distress.", "unit": "age-standardised deaths per 100,000", "latestValue": 11.4, "previousValue": 10.4, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 97, "levelScore": 97, "trendScore": 98, "volatilityScore": 36, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "ons_suicides", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_suicides), accessed 2026-06-14.", "previousStressScore": 91, "delta": 6, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 65, "delta": 32, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England and Wales; ONS publishes both occurrence-year and registration-year series (mixed in the latest point), and a 2018 coroner standard-of-proof change may have raised registered counts.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "ons_suicides", "sourceTitle": "Suicides in England and Wales", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/suicidesintheunitedkingdom/2024registrations", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "ASMR per 100,000, England & Wales. 2010-2023 occurrence-year; 2024 registration-year.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-14" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 6 } }, { "id": "ph_avoidable_mortality", "name": "Avoidable mortality", "domainId": "population_health", "description": "Age-standardised rate of under-75 deaths from causes considered avoidable through timely healthcare or public-health intervention.", "unit": "age-standardised rate per 100,000", "latestValue": 227.6, "previousValue": 237.4, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 36, "levelScore": 39, "trendScore": 29, "volatilityScore": 60, "confidenceScore": 0.8, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ons_avoidable_mortality", "notes": "Verified official value from Office for National Statistics (ons_avoidable_mortality), accessed 2026-08-15.", "previousStressScore": 33, "delta": 3, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 54, "delta": -18, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England; the definition was revised in 2014 (earlier years are not comparable) and COVID-19 was counted as an avoidable cause from 2020, inflating 2020-21.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Office for National Statistics", "seriesId": "ons_avoidable_mortality", "sourceTitle": "Avoidable mortality in England and Wales", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/causesofdeath/bulletins/avoidablemortalityinenglandandwales/2024", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "ASMR per 100,000, England, under-75. Current (post-2014) definition; COVID inflated 2020-21. Pre-2018 in XLSX, deferred. History restated in full from the February 2026 edition of the ONS avoidable mortality dataset (2001 to 2024) so every point shares one vintage; ONS revises earlier years when population denominators update. England, persons, all avoidable causes, age standardised per 100,000.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-15" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 3 } }, { "id": "ph_mental_illness_prevalence", "name": "Common mental-health condition prevalence", "domainId": "population_health", "description": "Share of working-age adults (aged 16–64) with a common mental health condition on the Clinical Interview Schedule-Revised (CIS-R score of 12 or more), the gold-standard clinical prevalence measure.", "unit": "% of adults aged 16-64", "latestValue": 22.6, "previousValue": 18.9, "latestPeriod": "2023/4", "updateFrequency": "Periodic (~7-yearly)", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 87, "levelScore": 80, "trendScore": 100, "volatilityScore": 65, "confidenceScore": 0.75, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "nhse_apms", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England / NatCen (nhse_apms), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 84, "delta": 3, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 62, "delta": 25, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2014", "toPeriod": "2023/4" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "The 16–64 CIS-R≥12 common-mental-health-condition measure. The Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey waves are irregular (~7-yearly: 1993, 2000, 2007, 2014, 2023/4), so the series cannot be interpolated and the latest change spans a decade.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "NHS England / NatCen", "seriesId": "nhse_apms", "sourceTitle": "Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey 2023/24", "sourceUrl": "https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/adult-psychiatric-morbidity-survey/survey-of-mental-health-and-wellbeing-england-2023-24/common-mental-health-conditions", "frequency": "Periodic (~7-yearly)", "note": "% adults 16-64 with CIS-R >=12, England. 5 survey waves only; do not interpolate.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 3 } }, { "id": "ec_ghg_emissions", "name": "Greenhouse-gas emissions", "domainId": "environment_climate", "description": "UK territorial net greenhouse-gas emissions, the headline measure of progress against the country's legally-binding decarbonisation path.", "unit": "MtCO2e (territorial, net)", "latestValue": 367, "previousValue": 373.4, "latestPeriod": "2025 (provisional)", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 15, "levelScore": 2, "trendScore": 41, "volatilityScore": 28, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "desnz_ghg", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (desnz_ghg), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 17, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 13, "delta": 2, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025 (provisional)" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "UK territorial basis excludes consumption/imported emissions and treats aviation and shipping separately; figures are revised each year and final data lags by about 14 months.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Energy Security and Net Zero", "seriesId": "desnz_ghg", "sourceTitle": "DESNZ: UK net territorial GHG emissions 367 MtCO2e, 2025 (provisional)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/provisional-uk-greenhouse-gas-emissions-statistics-2025/2025-uk-greenhouse-gas-emissions-provisional-figures-statistical-release", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Provisional 2025 estimate; final figures due February 2027.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "ec_air_quality_pm25", "name": "Air pollution (PM2.5)", "domainId": "environment_climate", "description": "Population-weighted annual mean fine-particulate (PM2.5) concentration, the air pollutant most strongly linked to mortality.", "unit": "micrograms per cubic metre (population-weighted)", "latestValue": 7.06, "previousValue": 6.97, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 29, "levelScore": 15, "trendScore": 56, "volatilityScore": 75, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "defra_air_quality", "notes": "Verified official value from Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (defra_air_quality), accessed 2026-06-14.", "previousStressScore": 33, "delta": -4, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 4, "delta": 25, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England, from DEFRA's modelled population-weighted PCM data; concentrations are weather-sensitive year to year and the statutory 10 micrograms target is assessed on a three-year mean.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs", "seriesId": "defra_air_quality", "sourceTitle": "Population-weighted annual mean PM2.5 (PCM data)", "sourceUrl": "https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/data/pcm-data", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Population-weighted PM2.5 (ug/m3), England. Only directly-fetched years; 2012/14/16/18 interpolations dropped.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-14" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -4 } }, { "id": "ec_bathing_water", "name": "Bathing water quality", "domainId": "environment_climate", "description": "Share of designated bathing waters classified Excellent or Good, a tangible measure of water-environment quality.", "unit": "% of bathing waters rated Excellent or Good", "latestValue": 87.3, "previousValue": 85.0, "latestPeriod": "2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 69, "levelScore": 85, "trendScore": 36, "volatilityScore": 23, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ea_bathing_water", "notes": "Verified official value from Environment Agency (ea_bathing_water), accessed 2026-08-25.", "previousStressScore": 64, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 88, "delta": -19, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England; the current four-class system began in 2015 (no comparable earlier data), the 2020 season was cancelled for COVID, and the 2024 fall partly reflects 27 newly designated, often-poorer river sites.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Environment Agency", "seriesId": "ea_bathing_water", "sourceTitle": "EA: 87.3% of English bathing waters rated Excellent or Good, 2025", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/bathing-water-quality-statistics/2025-statistics-on-english-coastal-and-inland-bathing-waters-a-summary-of-compliance-with-the-bathing-water-amendment-england-and-wales-regulatio", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "% Excellent or Good, England. 4-class system from 2015; 2020 cancelled (COVID); 2024 fall partly new river sites.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-08-25" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 5 } }, { "id": "in_broadband_coverage", "name": "Gigabit broadband coverage", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "description": "Share of premises with access to gigabit-capable broadband, a core measure of digital-infrastructure adequacy.", "unit": "% of premises with gigabit-capable broadband", "latestValue": 89.0, "previousValue": 87.0, "latestPeriod": "2026", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 20, "levelScore": 11, "trendScore": 39, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "improving", "sourceId": "ofcom_connected_nations", "notes": "Verified official value from Ofcom (ofcom_connected_nations), accessed 2026-06-23.", "previousStressScore": 28, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 19, "delta": 1, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "UK; measures network coverage (full-fibre plus cable) rather than take-up, and Ofcom only began reporting gigabit-capable coverage in 2020, so the series is short.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "provider": "Ofcom", "seriesId": "ofcom_connected_nations", "sourceTitle": "Connected Nations Spring 2026: 89% of UK premises gigabit-capable (27.1m homes)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ofcom.org.uk/phones-and-broadband/coverage-and-speeds/connected-nations-update-spring-2026", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "% UK premises gigabit-capable (full-fibre + cable), coverage not take-up. Series begins 2020.", "status": "verified", "method": "manual-transcription", "accessedAt": "2026-06-23" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -8 } }, { "id": "ls_inequality_gini", "name": "Income inequality (Gini, disposable)", "domainId": "living_standards", "description": "Gini coefficient of equivalised disposable household income (0=equal, higher=more unequal).", "unit": "%", "latestValue": 32.9, "previousValue": 33.1, "latestPeriod": "FYE 2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 51, "levelScore": 53, "trendScore": 47, "volatilityScore": 35, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_income_inequality", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (ons_income_inequality), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 49, "delta": 2, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 42, "delta": 9, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "FYE2023", "toPeriod": "FYE 2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Bulletin publishes few in-text anchor points; full annual series is in the ONS dataset. Year-on-year moves are often not statistically significant.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "ons_income_inequality", "sourceTitle": "Household income inequality, UK: financial year ending 2024", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/personalandhouseholdfinances/incomeandwealth/bulletins/householdincomeinequalityfinancial/financialyearending2024", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Gini coefficient of equivalised disposable household income (0=equal, higher=more unequal). Bulletin publishes few in-text anchor points; year-on-year moves often not statistically significant.", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 2 } }, { "id": "ph_healthy_life_expectancy", "name": "Healthy life expectancy at birth", "domainId": "population_health", "description": "Healthy life expectancy at birth, UK: mean of male (60.7) and female (60.9); ONS publishes no combined figure.", "unit": "years", "latestValue": 60.8, "previousValue": 60.8, "latestPeriod": "2022–2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "lower_is_worse", "stressScore": 58, "levelScore": 61, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "ons_hle", "notes": "Verified official value from ONS (ons_hle), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 57, "delta": 1, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 58, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat", "fromPeriod": "2022–2024", "toPeriod": "2022–2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Sex-specific only (mean used here); rolling 3-year periods overlap; latest is the lowest since the series began (2011–13).", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "ONS", "seriesId": "ons_hle", "sourceTitle": "Health state life expectancies, UK: between 2011 to 2013 and 2022 to 2024", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandlifeexpectancies/bulletins/healthstatelifeexpectanciesuk/between2011to2013and2022to2024", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Healthy life expectancy at birth, UK, mean of male (60.7) and female (60.9); ONS publishes no combined figure. Rolling 3-year periods overlap; latest is the lowest since the series began (2011–13).", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": 1 } }, { "id": "ec_wild_bird_index", "name": "Wild bird populations (decline since 1970)", "domainId": "environment_climate", "description": "Decline in the UK all-species wild bird index since the 1970 baseline (130 breeding species).", "unit": "% decline since 1970", "latestValue": 18, "previousValue": 18, "latestPeriod": "2024", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 51, "levelScore": 51, "trendScore": 50, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.85, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "defra_wild_birds", "notes": "Verified official value from DEFRA (defra_wild_birds), accessed 2026-06-16.", "previousStressScore": 51, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 51, "delta": 0, "direction": "flat", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2024" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "Stored as % decline from 1970; the full annual index is in the DEFRA dataset. Down 4% over 2019–2024.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "no_change", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "DEFRA", "seriesId": "defra_wild_birds", "sourceTitle": "Wild bird populations in the UK", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/wild-bird-populations-in-the-uk", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Decline in the UK all-species wild bird index since the 1970 baseline (130 breeding species). Stored as % decline from 1970; full annual index is in the DEFRA dataset. Down 4% over 2019–2024.", "accessedAt": "2026-06-16" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 0 } }, { "id": "ho_rough_sleeping", "name": "Rough sleeping snapshot (England)", "domainId": "housing", "description": "Estimated number of people sleeping rough on a single autumn night in England.", "unit": "people", "latestValue": 4793, "previousValue": 4667, "latestPeriod": "Autumn 2025", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 85, "levelScore": 96, "trendScore": 63, "volatilityScore": 100, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "sourceId": "mhclg_rough_sleeping", "notes": "Verified official value from MHCLG (mhclg_rough_sleeping), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 87, "delta": -2, "deltaDirection": "improving", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 86, "delta": -1, "direction": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "Autumn 2025" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England only; single-night snapshot; known undercount; consistent methodology since 2010.", "normalisation": "percentile", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "measured", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "MHCLG", "seriesId": "mhclg_rough_sleeping", "sourceTitle": "MHCLG: 4,793 people estimated sleeping rough on a single night, autumn 2025 (record high)", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/rough-sleeping-snapshot-in-england-autumn-2025/rough-sleeping-snapshot-in-england-autumn-2025", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Estimated number of people sleeping rough on a single autumn night in England. England only; single night snapshot; known undercount; consistent methodology since 2010.", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": true, "stressDelta": -2 } }, { "id": "ch_child_obesity", "name": "Child obesity, Year 6 (England)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "description": "Obesity prevalence among Year 6 children (age 10–11), England (NCMP).", "unit": "%", "latestValue": 22.2, "previousValue": 22.1, "latestPeriod": "2024/25", "updateFrequency": "Annual", "directionOfBadness": "higher_is_worse", "stressScore": 54, "levelScore": 55, "trendScore": 52, "volatilityScore": 50, "confidenceScore": 0.9, "trendDirection": "stable", "sourceId": "nhs_ncmp", "notes": "Verified official value from NHS England / OHID (nhs_ncmp), accessed 2026-07-07.", "previousStressScore": 54, "delta": 0, "deltaDirection": "flat", "deltaBasis": "release", "observation": { "previousStressScore": 53, "delta": 1, "direction": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023/24", "toPeriod": "2024/25" }, "sourceQuality": "official", "weakness": "England only; only recent in-text points transcribed (full NCMP series from 2006/07 is in the dataset); above pre-pandemic levels.", "normalisation": "bounds", "trendBasis": "measured", "volatilityBasis": "insufficient_history", "verified": true, "provenance": { "status": "verified", "method": "transcribed", "provider": "NHS England / OHID", "seriesId": "nhs_ncmp", "sourceTitle": "National Child Measurement Programme, England, 2024/25 school year", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-child-measurement-programme-ncmp-annual-report-academic-year-2024-to-2025-england", "frequency": "Annual", "note": "Obesity prevalence among Year 6 children (age 10 to 11), England (NCMP). England only; only recent points transcribed; above pre-pandemic levels.", "accessedAt": "2026-07-07" }, "scored": true, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 0 } } ], "topStressors": [ "ph_suicide_rate", "ph_mental_illness_prevalence", "ho_rough_sleeping", "ps_crown_court_backlog", "ho_temporary_accommodation" ], "topImprovers": [ "ls_real_wage_growth", "ls_food_insecurity", "wp_business_births_closures", "ps_care_workforce_vacancy", "fi_borrowing_to_gdp" ], "review": { "releasePeriod": "September 2026", "executiveSummary": [ "As of the September 2026 release, the British Resilience Index stands at 51 out of 100, a Fragile reading. The national score has eased 1 point since the previous release. That comparison spans the normalisation change described under methodology changes below, which moves scores on unchanged figures rather than reflecting new data. The methodology note gives its measured size. The scoring revision also described there leaves the headline unchanged at 51.", "Population Health remains the largest single contributor to national stress, with a domain score of 83. Public Service Capacity and Housing and Household Formation also sit in the Fragile range. The single highest stress indicator is Suicide rate (97).", "Since the August 2026 release, 6 indicators received a new observation, 4 had a value revised for the same period, 5 had an earlier point in the series restated and 7 changed source. Stress scores moved on 50 indicators whose inputs did not change; that movement is a methodology effect, not new data, and the methodology changes below describe it. The largest release movement among indicators with new or revised data is Zero-hours contracts, which has eased 20 points since the previous release.", "Data confidence is highest in official statistics series and lowest in official statistics in development measures; the overall confidence score is 0.83." ], "whatChanged": { "basis": "release", "comparedTo": { "period": "August 2026", "periodIso": "2026-08" }, "newObservations": [ "fi_debt_interest_pressure", "ls_food_energy_pressure", "rl_prison_capacity", "tw_belonging", "tw_community_participation", "wp_zero_hours" ], "revisions": [ "fi_current_budget_deficit", "fi_debt_to_gdp", "ls_real_wage_growth", "wp_output_per_hour" ], "historyRestatements": [ "ch_looked_after", "ec_ghg_emissions", "ls_fuel_poverty", "ph_avoidable_mortality", "ph_drug_deaths" ], "sourceChanges": [ "ec_bathing_water", "fi_debt_interest_pressure", "ls_food_energy_pressure", "ph_drug_deaths", "rl_prison_capacity", "tw_belonging", "tw_community_participation" ], "normalisationChanges": [ "ls_fuel_poverty", "ph_avoidable_mortality", "ps_cancer_62day", "rl_prison_capacity", "tw_belonging" ], "methodOnlyCount": 50, "changedIndicatorCount": 16, "comparableIndicatorCount": 71 }, "movementBasis": { "materialMovements": "observation", "keyDeteriorations": "release", "keyImprovements": "release", "watchlist": "release" }, "materialMovements": [ { "metricId": "fi_borrowing_to_gdp", "name": "Public sector net borrowing", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 69, "toScore": 23, "delta": -46, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ie_storm_overflows", "name": "Storm overflow spill duration (England)", "domainId": "environment_climate", "domainName": "Environment and Climate", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 63, "toScore": 20, "delta": -43, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ho_rent_to_income", "name": "Rent to income ratio", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 14, "toScore": 53, "delta": 39, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "FYE 2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "fi_current_budget_deficit", "name": "Current budget deficit", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 60, "toScore": 22, "delta": -38, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ls_real_wage_growth", "name": "Real average weekly earnings growth", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 67, "toScore": 30, "delta": -37, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "fi_fiscal_headroom", "name": "Headroom against fiscal rules", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 67, "toScore": 30, "delta": -37, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Nov 2025 EFO", "toPeriod": "Nov 2025 EFO", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ph_suicide_rate", "name": "Suicide rate", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 65, "toScore": 97, "delta": 32, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "wp_business_births_closures", "name": "Business births minus closures", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 48, "toScore": 19, "delta": -29, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "rl_theft_robbery_burglary", "name": "Theft, robbery and burglary (CSEW)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "domainName": "Rule of Law and Safety", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 49, "toScore": 20, "delta": -29, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "wp_inactivity_rate", "name": "Economic inactivity rate (16–64)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 42, "toScore": 16, "delta": -26, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ls_food_insecurity", "name": "Household food insecurity", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 42, "toScore": 17, "delta": -25, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "FYE 2024-25", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ph_mental_illness_prevalence", "name": "Common mental-health condition prevalence", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 62, "toScore": 87, "delta": 25, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2014", "toPeriod": "2023/4", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ec_air_quality_pm25", "name": "Air pollution (PM2.5)", "domainId": "environment_climate", "domainName": "Environment and Climate", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 4, "toScore": 29, "delta": 25, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ie_rail_reliability", "name": "Rail cancellations (GB)", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "domainName": "Infrastructure", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 40, "toScore": 63, "delta": 23, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024–25", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "wp_unemployment_rate", "name": "Unemployment rate (16+)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 41, "toScore": 63, "delta": 22, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ch_neet_rate", "name": "Young people not in education, employment or training (16–24)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 74, "toScore": 52, "delta": -22, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "tw_loneliness", "name": "Chronic loneliness", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 39, "toScore": 61, "delta": 22, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "May 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ch_persistent_absence", "name": "Persistent school absence (England)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 64, "toScore": 44, "delta": -20, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ps_social_care_requests", "name": "Adult social care requests", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 87, "toScore": 68, "delta": -19, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2024-25", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ho_new_homes_vs_household_growth", "name": "Net additional dwellings", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 43, "toScore": 62, "delta": 19, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2024–25", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ec_bathing_water", "name": "Bathing water quality", "domainId": "environment_climate", "domainName": "Environment and Climate", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 88, "toScore": 69, "delta": -19, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ph_avoidable_mortality", "name": "Avoidable mortality", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 54, "toScore": 36, "delta": -18, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "fi_net_investment", "name": "Public sector net investment", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 15, "toScore": 30, "delta": 15, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ph_drug_deaths", "name": "Drug-poisoning deaths", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 98, "toScore": 83, "delta": -15, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2023", "toPeriod": "2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ls_food_energy_pressure", "name": "Energy bill affordability pressure", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 45, "toScore": 31, "delta": -14, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Mar 2026", "toPeriod": "Jul 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "wp_zero_hours", "name": "Zero-hours contracts", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 80, "toScore": 66, "delta": -14, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "Jan-Mar 2026", "toPeriod": "Apr-Jun 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "wp_employment_rate", "name": "Employment rate (16–64)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 42, "toScore": 29, "delta": -13, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ps_delayed_discharges", "name": "Delayed hospital discharges (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 57, "toScore": 70, "delta": 13, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "June 2026", "toPeriod": "July 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ps_crown_court_backlog", "name": "Crown Court outstanding caseload (E&W)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 97, "toScore": 84, "delta": -13, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "End Mar 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "tw_anxiety", "name": "Anxiety", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 60, "toScore": 73, "delta": 13, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "Q4 2024", "toPeriod": "Q4 2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "tw_belonging", "name": "Neighbourhood belonging", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 43, "toScore": 56, "delta": 13, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2025/26", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ls_fuel_poverty", "name": "Fuel poverty", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 0, "toScore": 12, "delta": 12, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ch_ehcp_timeliness", "name": "EHC plan timeliness", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 93, "toScore": 81, "delta": -12, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "fi_debt_interest_pressure", "name": "Debt interest as share of revenue", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 46, "toScore": 58, "delta": 12, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025-26", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ps_rtt_waiting_list", "name": "NHS referral-to-treatment waiting list (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 57, "toScore": 68, "delta": 11, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ls_arrears_insolvency", "name": "Household arrears and insolvency pressure", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 40, "toScore": 50, "delta": 10, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "tw_institutional_trust", "name": "Trust in national government", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 57, "toScore": 47, "delta": -10, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "March 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ps_gp_access_pressure", "name": "GP access pressure (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 54, "toScore": 45, "delta": -9, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ch_camhs_access_pressure", "name": "Children's mental-health caseload", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 59, "toScore": 68, "delta": 9, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "May 2026", "toPeriod": "June 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ls_inequality_gini", "name": "Income inequality (Gini, disposable)", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 42, "toScore": 51, "delta": 9, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "FYE2023", "toPeriod": "FYE 2024", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ch_looked_after", "name": "Children looked after", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 67, "toScore": 59, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "Year ending 31 Mar 2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "wp_lt_sickness_inactivity", "name": "Inactivity due to long-term sickness", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 85, "toScore": 78, "delta": -7, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2024", "toPeriod": "2025", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ps_care_workforce_vacancy", "name": "Adult social care vacancies", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 26, "toScore": 19, "delta": -7, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "2025-26", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "ho_temporary_accommodation", "name": "Households in temporary accommodation (England)", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 90, "toScore": 83, "delta": -7, "deltaDirection": "improving", "fromPeriod": "2025", "toPeriod": "Q1 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "rl_charge_rate", "name": "Offences resulting in charge or summons (E&W)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "domainName": "Rule of Law and Safety", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 33, "toScore": 40, "delta": 7, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "2026", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "note": "" }, { "metricId": "tw_safe_after_dark", "name": "Feeling safe after dark", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "basis": "observation", "fromScore": 36, "toScore": 41, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "fromPeriod": "YE Mar 2025", "toPeriod": "YE Mar 2026", "note": "" } ], "keyDeteriorations": [ { "metricId": "tw_belonging", "name": "Neighbourhood belonging", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 56, "delta": 14, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "confidenceScore": 0.75, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 14 }, "note": "Stress score 56; risen 14 points since the August 2026 release (new observation, source changed, normalisation changed)." }, { "metricId": "fi_debt_interest_pressure", "name": "Debt interest as share of revenue", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 58, "delta": 12, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "confidenceScore": 0.85, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 12 }, "note": "Stress score 58; risen 12 points since the August 2026 release (new observation, source changed)." }, { "metricId": "ch_looked_after", "name": "Children looked after", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 59, "delta": 7, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "confidenceScore": 0.85, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 7 }, "note": "Stress score 59; risen 7 points since the August 2026 release (history restated)." }, { "metricId": "ec_bathing_water", "name": "Bathing water quality", "domainId": "environment_climate", "domainName": "Environment and Climate", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 69, "delta": 5, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "confidenceScore": 0.85, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 5 }, "note": "Stress score 69; risen 5 points since the August 2026 release (source changed)." }, { "metricId": "ls_fuel_poverty", "name": "Fuel poverty", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 12, "delta": 4, "deltaDirection": "worsening", "confidenceScore": 0.8, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": 4 }, "note": "Stress score 12; risen 4 points since the August 2026 release (history restated, normalisation changed)." } ], "keyImprovements": [ { "metricId": "wp_zero_hours", "name": "Zero-hours contracts", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 66, "delta": -20, "deltaDirection": "improving", "confidenceScore": 0.75, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -20 }, "note": "Stress score 66; eased 20 points since the August 2026 release (new observation)." }, { "metricId": "ls_food_energy_pressure", "name": "Energy bill affordability pressure", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 31, "delta": -15, "deltaDirection": "improving", "confidenceScore": 0.7, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -15 }, "note": "Stress score 31; eased 15 points since the August 2026 release (new observation, source changed)." }, { "metricId": "ph_drug_deaths", "name": "Drug-poisoning deaths", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 83, "delta": -10, "deltaDirection": "improving", "confidenceScore": 0.9, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": true, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -10 }, "note": "Stress score 83; eased 10 points since the August 2026 release (history restated, source changed)." }, { "metricId": "rl_prison_capacity", "name": "Prison capacity utilisation (E&W)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "domainName": "Rule of Law and Safety", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 50, "delta": -9, "deltaDirection": "improving", "confidenceScore": 0.95, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": true, "valueRevised": false, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": true, "normalisationChanged": true, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -9 }, "note": "Stress score 50; eased 9 points since the August 2026 release (new observation, source changed, normalisation changed)." }, { "metricId": "ls_real_wage_growth", "name": "Real average weekly earnings growth", "domainId": "living_standards", "domainName": "Living Standards", "basis": "release", "stressScore": 30, "delta": -8, "deltaDirection": "improving", "confidenceScore": 0.85, "changeSinceRelease": { "newObservation": false, "valueRevised": true, "historyRestated": false, "sourceChanged": false, "normalisationChanged": false, "methodOnly": false, "stressDelta": -8 }, "note": "Stress score 30; eased 8 points since the August 2026 release (value revised)." } ], "criticalRisks": [ "Population Health is rated High stress (score 83). The primary contributor is Suicide rate (stress score 97)." ], "dataQualityNotes": [ "The strongest tier by mean confidence is official statistics (mean 0.85, 54 indicators).", "The weakest tier is official statistics in development (mean 0.7, 2 indicators).", "3 indicators carry low data confidence (below 0.70) and require additional scrutiny.", "54 of 73 indicators are sourced from official statistics, providing a robust data foundation." ], "openQuestions": [ "Is the Children's mental-health caseload signal real, or an artefact of Published as 'in contact with services' (open referrals), which includes those receiving care as well as those waiting: not a pure waiting list; counting methodologies vary across NHS trusts.?" ], "watchlist": [ { "metricId": "ph_suicide_rate", "name": "Suicide rate", "domainId": "population_health", "basis": "release", "reason": "Stress score 97 and up 6 points since the previous release; requires monitoring." }, { "metricId": "ph_mental_illness_prevalence", "name": "Common mental-health condition prevalence", "domainId": "population_health", "basis": "release", "reason": "Stress score 87 and up 3 points since the previous release; requires monitoring." }, { "metricId": "ho_temporary_accommodation", "name": "Households in temporary accommodation (England)", "domainId": "housing", "basis": "release", "reason": "Stress score 83 and up 5 points since the previous release; requires monitoring." }, { "metricId": "ch_ehcp_timeliness", "name": "EHC plan timeliness", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "basis": "release", "reason": "Stress score 81 and up 2 points since the previous release; requires monitoring." }, { "metricId": "wp_lt_sickness_inactivity", "name": "Inactivity due to long-term sickness", "domainId": "work_productivity", "basis": "release", "reason": "Stress score 78 and up 5 points since the previous release; requires monitoring." }, { "metricId": "tw_anxiety", "name": "Anxiety", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "basis": "release", "reason": "Stress score 73 and up 3 points since the previous release; requires monitoring." } ], "methodologyChanges": [ "Two indicators change source this release. DCMS retired the Community Life Survey in October 2025 and replaced it with the Community and Engagement Survey, so neighbourhood belonging and regular formal volunteering now come from the new survey. Its first edition combines April to September 2025 collected under the old survey with October 2025 to March 2026 under the new one, weighted towards the larger later sample. Both points are taken because DCMS compares the two years directly in its own headline, and the break is recorded on each indicator's weakness note. Welsh children looked after also moves vintage: the publisher now reports the rate as a whole number and restates March 2024, so the series is taken wholly from the current edition rather than mixing vintages.", "From this release five indicators moved from provisional bounds to percentile normalisation, their verified histories having reached eight points (cancer 62 day standard, prison capacity, avoidable mortality, fuel poverty, neighbourhood belonging), the migration path stated on the methodology page. Publisher revisions adopted: DESNZ restated fuel poverty for 2022 and 2023, and the avoidable mortality history now comes wholly from the February 2026 ONS edition so every point shares one vintage. An undated prison capacity history point that could not be traced to any weekly bulletin was replaced with the verified 11 August 2025 reading. The change was measured against the August release before this one was cut: on unchanged August 2026 data it moves the national score from 51.63 to 51.00, and September's new data then moves it to 50.71. So of the 1 point fall from 52 to 51, the normalisation change accounts for about two thirds and new source data for the rest.", "The scoring model is revised this release, the first change to it since June. Volatility leaves the metric stress blend, which becomes two thirds level and one third trend. On this register volatility was pinned at its maximum for 14 of the 71 scored indicators and was a placeholder for 19, so on nearly half the register a component that only ever pushed stress upward was either saturated or invented. It is still computed and published on every indicator. Second, a component that cannot be measured now contributes nothing and the remaining weight is rescaled, rather than contributing a neutral 50: under the old rule an indicator with a short history could not score below 20 or above 80 while one with a long history could span the full range, which was an artefact of history length rather than a statement about uncertainty. Third, the systemic risk penalty is retired. It added 5 or 10 points once three or five domains crossed 75; the cliff was arbitrary, the index carries no model of how a failure in one domain reaches another and so had nothing to calibrate the magnitude against, and it was never applied to the retrospective trend line, leaving the headline and the published history on scales that could differ by up to ten points. It stood at 0 in this release and the one before, so retiring it changes no published figure. The count of domains at or above 75 is now published as a signal instead. Measured on unchanged September data, the revision moves the national score from 50.71 to 51.43: the headline stays 51 and the band stays Fragile. Domain scores do move, by up to 5 points, and rule of law crosses from Strained to Fragile at 51. Finally the top two band labels are renamed. Critical becomes High stress, and the top band becomes Extreme stress, because the former names implied the index knows where a system breaks down and it does not. Band identifiers in the published data are unchanged." ], "sourceUpdates": [ "71 of 73 indicators in this release are drawn from verified official sources; the remaining 2 are provisional placeholders, marked as seed and excluded from scoring." ], "deltaAttribution": "That comparison spans the normalisation change described under methodology changes below, which moves scores on unchanged figures rather than reflecting new data. The methodology note gives its measured size. The scoring revision also described there leaves the headline unchanged at 51." }, "riskRegister": [ { "metricId": "ph_suicide_rate", "riskTitle": "Suicide rate", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "severity": "near_midnight", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "11.40 age-standardised deaths per 100,000, 2024 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "escalate", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ph_mental_illness_prevalence", "riskTitle": "Common mental-health condition prevalence", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.75, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "22.60 % of adults aged 16-64, 2023/4 (NHS England / NatCen).", "watchStatus": "escalate", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ho_rough_sleeping", "riskTitle": "Rough sleeping snapshot (England)", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "4793 people, Autumn 2025 (Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ps_crown_court_backlog", "riskTitle": "Crown Court outstanding caseload (E&W)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "80.10 thousand open cases, End Mar 2026 (Ministry of Justice).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ho_temporary_accommodation", "riskTitle": "Households in temporary accommodation (England)", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "135.58 thousand households, Q1 2026 (Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government).", "watchStatus": "escalate", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ph_drug_deaths", "riskTitle": "Drug-poisoning deaths", "domainId": "population_health", "domainName": "Population Health", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "93.90 deaths per million population (age-standardised), 2024 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "rl_fraud_incidents", "riskTitle": "Fraud incidents (CSEW)", "domainId": "rule_of_law", "domainName": "Rule of Law and Safety", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.75, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "4.50 million incidents per year, YE Mar 2026 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ch_ehcp_timeliness", "riskTitle": "EHC plan timeliness", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "46.10 % of new EHC plans issued within 20 weeks, 2025 (Department for Education).", "watchStatus": "escalate", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "wp_lt_sickness_inactivity", "riskTitle": "Inactivity due to long-term sickness", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "severity": "critical", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.8, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "2.79 million people, 2025 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "escalate", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "tw_anxiety", "riskTitle": "Anxiety", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "3.20 mean score, 0–10 (higher = more anxious), Q4 2025 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ps_delayed_discharges", "riskTitle": "Delayed hospital discharges (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.8, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "14.05 thousand patients per day not discharged when ready, July 2026 (NHS England).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ec_bathing_water", "riskTitle": "Bathing water quality", "domainId": "environment_climate", "domainName": "Environment and Climate", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "improving", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "87.30 % of bathing waters rated Excellent or Good, 2025 (Environment Agency).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ps_rtt_waiting_list", "riskTitle": "NHS referral-to-treatment waiting list (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.95, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "7.27 million incomplete pathways, June 2026 (NHS England).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ps_social_care_requests", "riskTitle": "Adult social care requests", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "improving", "confidence": 0.8, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "2.02 million new requests for adult social care support, 2024-25 (NHS England Digital).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ch_camhs_access_pressure", "riskTitle": "Children's mental-health caseload", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.65, "confidenceLevel": "low", "evidence": "538.80 thousand children with an open referral to CYP mental-health services, June 2026 (NHS England).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ch_disadvantage_gap", "riskTitle": "Disadvantage attainment gap (KS4, England)", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "3.92 gap index, 2024 (Department for Education).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "fi_debt_to_gdp", "riskTitle": "Public sector net debt", "domainId": "fiscal_resilience", "domainName": "Fiscal Resilience", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "94.30 % of GDP, 2025 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "wp_zero_hours", "riskTitle": "Zero-hours contracts", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.75, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "3.57 % of people in employment on a zero-hours contract, Apr-Jun 2026 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "wp_unemployment_rate", "riskTitle": "Unemployment rate (16+)", "domainId": "work_productivity", "domainName": "Work and Productivity", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "4.90 %, 2025 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ie_rail_reliability", "riskTitle": "Rail cancellations (GB)", "domainId": "infrastructure_environment", "domainName": "Infrastructure", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "4.10 % trains cancelled or part-cancelled, 2024–25 (Office of Rail and Road).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ho_new_homes_vs_household_growth", "riskTitle": "Net additional dwellings", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.75, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "208.60 thousand net additional dwellings (England), 2024–25 (Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government).", "watchStatus": "stable", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ho_social_housing_waiting", "riskTitle": "Social housing waiting lists (England)", "domainId": "housing", "domainName": "Housing and Household Formation", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.75, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "1.34 million households, 31 Mar 2025 (Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ps_ae_4hr_performance", "riskTitle": "A&E four-hour performance (England)", "domainId": "public_services", "domainName": "Public Service Capacity", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.95, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "75.40 % attendances within 4 hours (target 95), July 2026 (NHS England).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "ch_infant_mortality", "riskTitle": "Infant mortality", "domainId": "childhood_social_floor", "domainName": "Childhood and Social Floor", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.9, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "3.90 infant deaths per 1,000 live births, 2024 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "tw_life_satisfaction", "riskTitle": "Life satisfaction", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "stable", "confidence": 0.85, "confidenceLevel": "high", "evidence": "7.50 mean score, 0–10, Q4 2025 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" }, { "metricId": "tw_loneliness", "riskTitle": "Chronic loneliness", "domainId": "trust_wellbeing", "domainName": "Trust and Wellbeing", "severity": "fragile", "trendDirection": "deteriorating", "confidence": 0.75, "confidenceLevel": "medium", "evidence": "8 % adults often or always lonely, May 2026 (Office for National Statistics).", "watchStatus": "monitor", "watchStatusBasis": "release" } ], "revision": 4, "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-09-05", "reason": "Domain and metric deltas were computed against a synthetic previous snapshot rather than the archived August release; recomputed on release basis, with the observation basis published separately and each indicator's change since release categorised.", "supersedesRevision": 1, "fieldsChanged": [ "domains[].delta", "domains[].deltaBasis", "domains[].deltaDirection", "domains[].observation", "domains[].previousScore", "metrics[].changeSinceRelease", "metrics[].delta", "metrics[].deltaBasis", "metrics[].deltaDirection", "metrics[].observation", "metrics[].previousStressScore", "observation", "review.executiveSummary[]", "review.keyDeteriorations[].basis", "review.keyDeteriorations[].changeSinceRelease", "review.keyDeteriorations[].confidenceScore", "review.keyDeteriorations[].delta", "review.keyDeteriorations[].domainId", "review.keyDeteriorations[].domainName", "review.keyDeteriorations[].metricId", "review.keyDeteriorations[].name", "review.keyDeteriorations[].note", "review.keyDeteriorations[].stressScore", "review.keyImprovements[].basis", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease", "review.keyImprovements[].confidenceScore", "review.keyImprovements[].delta", "review.keyImprovements[].domainId", "review.keyImprovements[].domainName", "review.keyImprovements[].metricId", "review.keyImprovements[].name", "review.keyImprovements[].note", "review.keyImprovements[].stressScore", "review.materialMovements[].basis", "review.materialMovements[].fromPeriod", "review.materialMovements[].toPeriod", "review.movementBasis", "review.watchlist[].basis", "review.watchlist[].domainId", "review.watchlist[].metricId", "review.watchlist[].name", "review.watchlist[].reason", "review.whatChanged", "riskRegister[].watchStatus", "riskRegister[].watchStatusBasis", "releases/2026-09/metric-history.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/east_england.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/east_midlands.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/england.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/london.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/ni.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/north_east.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/north_west.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/scotland.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/south_east.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/south_west.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/wales.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/west_midlands.json (added)", "releases/2026-09/regions/yorkshire_humber.json (added)" ] }, { "date": "2026-09-05", "reason": "House style and prose only: the executive summary says highest stress rather than highest-stress on every view, and the 13 views without an archived comparator now say a release comparison is not available until the October 2026 release. No score, delta or input value changed.", "supersedesRevision": 2, "fieldsChanged": [ "review.executiveSummary[]", "releases/2026-09/regions/east_england.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/east_midlands.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/england.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/london.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/ni.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/north_east.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/north_west.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/scotland.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/south_east.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/south_west.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/wales.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/west_midlands.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/yorkshire_humber.json" ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "reason": "ph_drug_deaths history replaced with the ONS revised age standardised rates from the 2024 registrations reference table; the 2023 value was held as 82.5 where ONS gives 93.0, so the 2024 trend and delta for this indicator were overstated", "supersedesRevision": 3, "fieldsChanged": [ "domains[].averageScore", "domains[].delta", "domains[].deltaDirection", "domains[].interpretation", "domains[].observation.delta", "domains[].observation.previousScore", "domains[].score", "domains[].topContributorMetricId", "domains[].trend[].score", "metrics[].changeSinceRelease.historyRestated", "metrics[].changeSinceRelease.methodOnly", "metrics[].changeSinceRelease.sourceChanged", "metrics[].changeSinceRelease.stressDelta", "metrics[].delta", "metrics[].deltaDirection", "metrics[].observation.delta", "metrics[].observation.direction", "metrics[].observation.previousStressScore", "metrics[].previousValue", "metrics[].provenance.note", "metrics[].provenance.sourceUrl", "metrics[].stressScore", "metrics[].trendDirection", "metrics[].trendScore", "metrics[].volatilityScore", "minutesToMidnight", "nationalScoreUnrounded", "nationalTrend[].score", "observation.delta", "observation.previousNationalScore", "review.criticalRisks[]", "review.executiveSummary[]", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease.historyRestated", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease.newObservation", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease.normalisationChanged", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease.sourceChanged", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease.stressDelta", "review.keyImprovements[].changeSinceRelease.valueRevised", "review.keyImprovements[].confidenceScore", "review.keyImprovements[].delta", "review.keyImprovements[].domainId", "review.keyImprovements[].domainName", "review.keyImprovements[].metricId", "review.keyImprovements[].name", "review.keyImprovements[].note", "review.keyImprovements[].stressScore", "review.materialMovements[].delta", "review.materialMovements[].deltaDirection", "review.materialMovements[].domainId", "review.materialMovements[].domainName", "review.materialMovements[].fromPeriod", "review.materialMovements[].fromScore", "review.materialMovements[].metricId", "review.materialMovements[].name", "review.materialMovements[].toPeriod", "review.materialMovements[].toScore", "review.watchlist[].domainId", "review.watchlist[].metricId", "review.watchlist[].name", "review.watchlist[].reason", "review.whatChanged.changedIndicatorCount", "review.whatChanged.historyRestatements[]", "review.whatChanged.methodOnlyCount", "review.whatChanged.sourceChanges[]", "riskRegister[].confidence", "riskRegister[].confidenceLevel", "riskRegister[].domainId", "riskRegister[].domainName", "riskRegister[].evidence", "riskRegister[].metricId", "riskRegister[].riskTitle", "riskRegister[].severity", "riskRegister[].trendDirection", "riskRegister[].watchStatus", "topStressors[]", "releases/2026-09/metric-history.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/england.json", "releases/2026-09/regions/wales.json" ] } ] }